Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 20, 2019, 10:33:18 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  UT: Rasmussen- Trump +3
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: UT: Rasmussen- Trump +3  (Read 1674 times)
Fargobison
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,499



View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 26, 2016, 09:03:06 am »

Trump 32
McMullin 29
Clinton 28
Johnson 4

http://heatst.com/politics/utah-poll-exclusive-voters-want-gop-to-endorse-evan-mcmullin-in-3-way-tie/
Logged
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,819


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 09:06:14 am »

I think moving this to Leans McMullin might have been premature.  Tossup.
Logged

Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!

Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2016, 09:07:16 am »

#MAGA
Logged

“People have forgotten this truth," the fox said. "But you mustn’t forget it. You become responsible forever for what you’ve tamed. You’re responsible for your rose.”
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,597
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2016, 09:08:03 am »

#TossupUtah lives!!! 
Logged



Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38,506
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2016, 09:10:07 am »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%
Logged

My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

What is your opinion of this thread?

Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,078


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2016, 09:17:02 am »

with less than two weeks to election day we have trump +3 in utah; +1 in arizona; +3 in texas and +2 in georgia...

states that romney won +48; +9; +16 and +8.

wow
Logged
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,597
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2016, 09:24:54 am »

with less than two weeks to election day we have trump +3 in utah; +1 in arizona; +3 in texas and +2 in georgia...

states that romney won +48; +9; +16 and +8.

wow

aka NAILBITER.
Logged



Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,870
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2016, 09:32:49 am »

LOL, this is once again hilarious and confirms previous polls. Devastating for the faker. I hope the Trumpster loses UT to either McMuffin or Hillary. #MuffinMentum #BattlegoundUT
Logged

United Arab Emirates Immigrant, naturalized US citizen, resident of wonderful California, devoted liberal Democrat. Any questions?

King
intermoderate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,482
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2016, 09:42:16 am »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%


I don't see how McMullin doesn't win with those numbers.
Logged

nirvanayoda
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 89


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2016, 09:43:05 am »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%


You underestimate the "stop Hillary" vote.
I don't see how McMullin doesn't win with those numbers.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,198
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2016, 09:56:50 am »

McMullin’s name recognition is much higher now, now about as high as Johnson’s:

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 51/32% for +19%
Johnson 31/53% for -22%
Trump 31/68% for -37%
Clinton 26/72% for -46%


I don't see how McMullin doesn't win with those numbers.

Since voting is already happening there, I kind of wish a poll would show him leading to feel more confident, but that does really suggest he'll win late breakers at a good clip.
Logged
StateBoiler
fe234
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,630


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2016, 11:38:31 am »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.
Logged
Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,084
Israel


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2016, 11:53:03 am »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.

Do you mean they might vote tactically for McMullin?
Logged

Hearing scattered reports of de Blasio supporters rounding up Kulaks on Wall Street and executing them in the streets.
It's always nice to see white people claim distant lands.
Scalia's death was the best thing to happen in 2016. 
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,493
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2016, 12:20:42 pm »

This is Rasmussen.
Which means the race is tighter, and I would not doubt a McMullin win in Utah come Nov 8th.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,059


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2016, 12:30:07 pm »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.

Do you mean they might vote tactically for McMullin?


That's the implication, but with McMullin's conservative positions I have a hard time seeing many Clinton supporters choosing to vote for him.
Logged

Originally a Rockefeller Republican, then a long-time independent.  Converted to the Democrats in October 2018 out of revulsion at what the Republican party has become.
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,232
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2016, 12:32:02 pm »

Think a couple of Johnson's points will further break to McMullin. My gut is Trump unfortunately wins this by 2. Will really depend on how many McMullin supporters stick with him instead of wishy-washy away, and how many Hillary supporters decide to vote tactically to deny Trump the state.

Do you mean they might vote tactically for McMullin?


There is already talk among liberals at the social media about doing exactly that.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,454
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2016, 03:03:00 pm »

Please McMullin, please.

WIN
Logged
Fubart Solman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,566
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2016, 10:50:23 pm »

Please McMullin, please.

WIN

Some counties in Idaho would be nice as well, but God I hope McMullin wins Utah.
Logged

Beto/Duckworth 2020
E: -3.48 S: -7.48
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,709
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 26, 2016, 10:51:17 pm »

Good number for Clinton in this poll.
Logged
Interlocutor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 719


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 26, 2016, 10:53:55 pm »

Clinton holding her own here. I wanting McMullin to provide a different shade on the map, but Hillary's GOTV effort here could pay off tremendously
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,647
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2016, 01:13:48 am »

Explain to me again why Clinton can't reasonably approach the mid-30's performance Obama had in 08? If she does, she probably wins.
Logged

In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,908
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2016, 01:18:41 am »

Explain to me again why Clinton can't reasonably approach the mid-30's performance Obama had in 08? If she does, she probably wins.

Mixture of several factors: Bill having been especially unpopular here in the '90s, this being one of Sanders' absolute strongest states in the primary, the Democratic Party here being unusually left-wing relative to the national party and there being a disproportionate number of #BernieOrBust types (for example, Democratic sacrificial-lamb Senate nominee Misty Snow refused to endorse Hillary back in June, and simply said she was a former Bernie supporter without mentioning Hillary at her debate with Senator Lee, who didn't press the point since he has also refused to say who he is voting for presidentially), along with some amount of tactical voting for McMullin among the moderate Dems that do exist. A mixture of all these factors mean Hillary is not meaningfully improving over Obama '12 numbers here.
Logged

I will NOT be accepting any result other than a victory for America's next President, Governor Gary Earl Johnson Angry
Figueira
84285
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,765


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2016, 01:21:33 am »

Even if Trump wins, we'll still be able to use the cyan color.
Logged

Note: I am not actually British.

Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,965
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2016, 10:59:07 am »

Explain to me again why Clinton can't reasonably approach the mid-30's performance Obama had in 08? If she does, she probably wins.

Some of her voters might be crossing over to help McMuffin.
Logged


"In the end, the world we live in is in darkness."
"That's why... we seek the light."

Noir, episode 26
TarHeelDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,070
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2016, 11:03:14 am »

I would almost rather McMullin won here than than Hillary, just for the lulz.
Logged

"However difficult the moment, however frustrating the hour, it will not be long, because 'truth crushed to earth will rise again.'

How long? Not long, because 'no lie can live forever.'

How long? Not long, because 'you shall reap what you sow.' [...]

How long? Not long, because the arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice." -Dr. Martin Luther King
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines