Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 22, 2019, 01:57:59 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | | |-+  FL-CoC: Rubio holds large lead over Murphy
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: FL-CoC: Rubio holds large lead over Murphy  (Read 879 times)
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,134
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 21, 2016, 04:30:35 pm »

Link.

Rubio - 51%
Murphy - 37%
« Last Edit: October 22, 2016, 04:45:36 pm by heatcharger »Logged
ExtremeConservative
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,850


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2016, 04:37:18 pm »

Wait, this must be a DNC internal!  Only they could show him up by that much!
Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,709
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2016, 04:41:13 pm »

Yep, this looks like reality. In all likelihood, the only real question is if Rubio can win Miami-Dade County   - I think the answer is no, but it's going to be tight.
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,648
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2016, 04:53:35 pm »

I think there are many people on this forum who have the Patrick Murphy deranged syndrom.

Rubio isn't leading by 14 points lol
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,411
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.68, S: -2.61

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2016, 05:21:14 pm »

I think there are many people on this forum who have the Patrick Murphy deranged syndrom.

Rubio isn't leading by 14 points lol

This. I find the tied poll to be more realistic. What's funny is despite the senate numbers, Hillary is leading by the same margin in both polls.
Logged
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,597
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2016, 05:26:36 pm »

Whats causing the difference between the Democratic/Republican internals showing Rubio up by a lot and some of the public polls showing a close race?
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,648
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2016, 05:28:45 pm »

Whats causing the difference between the Democratic/Republican internals showing Rubio up by a lot and some of the public polls showing a close race?
The republican internals show Rubio leading by 3 points.
Logged
NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,645
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2016, 05:30:56 pm »

Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart is probably going to win, but not by this much, lol. I'll change my sig to a picture of him inside of a giant heart if he does.
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,972
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2016, 05:32:24 pm »

I think there are many people on this forum who have the Patrick Murphy deranged syndrom.

Rubio isn't leading by 14 points lol

If your best poll is a tie and your worst poll has you trailing by 14... you're probably not gonna win.

Look, I'm the first who would like to see FBM Purple heart go down in flames. I'd love to see that, but sadly it probably won't happen.
« Last Edit: October 21, 2016, 05:33:57 pm by Jante's Law Revivalist »Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,648
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2016, 05:34:01 pm »

Whats causing the difference between the Democratic/Republican internals showing Rubio up by a lot and some of the public polls showing a close race?
The republican internals show Rubio leading by 3 points.

Proof or Link?
I am on my phone. But it is the article showing NV narrowly dem and PA, NH, IN narrowly rep incumbent. In the same article they were surprised by Rubii only leading by 3 points considering the dscc abandoned him.

I can find you this article tomorrow evening if you want.


--------
I think there are many people on this forum who have the Patrick Murphy deranged syndrom.

Rubio isn't leading by 14 points lol

If your best poll is a tie and your worst poll has you trailing by 14... you're probably not gonna win.
Did I say he was going to win?
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,972
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2016, 05:35:08 pm »

I think there are many people on this forum who have the Patrick Murphy deranged syndrom.

Rubio isn't leading by 14 points lol

If your best poll is a tie and your worst poll has you trailing by 14... you're probably not gonna win.
Did I say he was going to win?

Fair enough.

My guess is FBM Purple heart wins by 4-5 points, fwiw.
Logged
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,648
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2016, 05:36:18 pm »

I think there are many people on this forum who have the Patrick Murphy deranged syndrom.

Rubio isn't leading by 14 points lol

If your best poll is a tie and your worst poll has you trailing by 14... you're probably not gonna win.
Did I say he was going to win?

Fair enough.

My guess is Rubio wins by 4-5 points, fwiw.
I think he's going to win too by low single digits. Trump needs to totally implode to make that happen, which is a possibility hehe
Logged
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,597
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2016, 05:37:48 pm »

Ah, okay. Thanks. Yeah, it's strange, but a win is a win, I guess.
Logged
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,870
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2016, 06:01:48 pm »

Yep, this looks like reality. In all likelihood, the only real question is if Rubio can win Miami-Dade County   - I think the answer is no, but it's going to be tight.
No way Rubio wins Miami-Dade while Trump loses it by like 30 points.

Also, why does the garbage editorializing of thread titles continue? Can't mods do something about the users that do it?
Logged
Fargobison
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,500



View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2016, 06:11:01 pm »

Rubio probably has a rock solid 3-4 point lead here, only some kind of Donnie nuclear meltdown can derail him.
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,781
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2016, 06:26:48 pm »

I don't think Rubio will win by this much, but this poll is probably closer to the truth than some of the very close polls based on the behavior of the DSCC and the NRSC in this state.
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,134
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2016, 06:28:12 pm »

Also, why does the garbage editorializing of thread titles continue? Can't mods do something about the users that do it?

I was being facetious about it because of Wulfric's title that didn't even state the margin.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,443


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2016, 09:49:56 am »

Seems unlikely that Obama would go to Florida to campaign for Murphy if he's so far behind.
Logged
UWS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,467


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2016, 10:49:24 am »

This must also be due to Marco Rubio's strong debate performance on October 17 when he slammed Murphy for his family's money transfers from partnership with Donald Trump, accused him of not only flip-flopping but also metamorphosing and reminded him that he gropped a woman at the tits on a picture posted on Facebook.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2016, 10:51:06 am by UWS »Logged
Dereich
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,401


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2016, 10:49:57 am »

Seems unlikely that Obama would go to Florida to campaign for Murphy if he's so far behind.

Maybe, but it also seems unlikely that the DSCC would have pulled out of the race if their numbers said it was winnable.

But seriously, Rubio is not winning by this kind of margin. The "anyone who isn't Katherine Harris and doesn't eat babies will get 45% in Florida" rule still stands, Rubio isn't a good enough politician to take natural Democratic votes and Murphy isn't bad enough to lose those votes.

This must also be due to Marco Rubio's impressive debate performance on October 17 when he slammed Murphy for his family's money transfers from partnership with Donald Trump, accused him of not only flip-flopping but also metamorphosing and reminded him that he gropped a woman at the tits on a picture posted on Facebook.

I doubt it; the debate wasn't very publicized and not very watched. The reporting of it the next day in most of the big Florida papers didn't talk about a huge Rubio win; most of them seemed to say either both had won or that it was very close.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2016, 10:52:44 am by Justice Dereich »Logged
Figueira
84285
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,787


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2016, 04:38:47 pm »

I think Rubio will probably win by around 4 points or so.
Logged
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,603
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 26, 2016, 04:14:17 pm »

Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart is probably going to win, but not by this much, lol. I'll change my sig to a picture of him inside of a giant heart if he does.
Quoted for posterity.
Not that I think it'll happen.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines