Suffolk national: Clinton +9 (4-way); +10 H2H

[psychprofessor]

Just announced on MSNBC, will officially be released at 2

Franco ‏@FrancoIKU  16m16 minutes ago
New Suffolk National Poll
Hillary 48%- -39 Trump

[Maxwell]

so it's not getting closer? the race is about the same?

My beautiful wonderful trash free national average posts a 6.2 lead in the 2-way and a 6 lead in the 4-way - a definitively not close race. this will only help that situation.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

SWEET SASSY MOLLASEY!!!  GREAT POLL!

[Gass3268]

This makes me feel better, even if Suffolk is only an average pollster.

[Landslide Lyndon]

[Ebsy]

This makes me feel better, even if Suffolk is only an average pollster.

At least no one can accuse Suffolk of being biased in favor of the Democrats!

[Yank2133]

so it's not getting closer? the race is about the same?

My beautiful wonderful trash free national average posts a 6.2 lead in the 2-way and a 6 lead in the 4-way - a definitively not close race. this will only help that situation.

Pretty much.

People get caught up in individual polls too much. When you look at the averages, Hillary is likely up around 5-7 points nationally.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

[GeorgiaModerate]

so it's not getting closer? the race is about the same?

It may have gotten a point or two closer in the last few days, but this is probably normal fluctuation.  The overall state of the race won't change unless it moves much closer than it has.

Soapbox: some of the people here REALLY need to get a grip and try not to have knee-jerk reactions to every little movement in the polls.  If they move 1 point today, it does not automatically mean they will move 1 point the next day, and the next day, and the next.  This is like driving down a highway, feeling the car start to turn upward, and automatically thinking "I'm starting to climb a mountain!"  Well, you might be climbing a mountain, but it could just as easily be a little bump in the road.  You won't know until you get to the top.  And in the real world, there are a hell of a lot more bumps than mountains.

[HillOfANight]

http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10741.php
#s in parentheses are their 9/8 #s.

Clinton 49 (48)
Trump 39 (41)
Undecided 10 (9)
Refused 2 (2)

Clinton 47 (42)
Trump 38 (35)
Stein 2 (4)
Johnson 4 (9)
Undecided 7 (10)
Refused 2 (1)

White
Clinton 42 (41)
Trump 47 (49)

Hispanic
Clinton 62 (65)
Trump 20 (24)

Black
Clinton 83 (92)
Trump 7 (4)

[The Other Castro]

But the tightening!

[Ebsy]

http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10741.php
#s in parentheses are their 9/8 #s.

Clinton 49 (48)
Trump 39 (41)
Undecided 10 (9)
Refused 2 (2)

Clinton 47 (42)
Trump 38 (35)
Stein 2 (4)
Johnson 4 (9)
Undecided 7 (10)
Refused 2 (1)

White
Clinton 41
Trump 49

Hispanic
Clinton 65
Trump 24

Black
Clinton 92
Trump 4

Great honer.

[BoAtlantis]

Oh Hill Yes

[HillOfANight]

http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10741.php
#s in parentheses are their 9/8 #s.

Clinton 49 (48)
Trump 39 (41)
Undecided 10 (9)
Refused 2 (2)

Clinton 47 (42)
Trump 38 (35)
Stein 2 (4)
Johnson 4 (9)
Undecided 7 (10)
Refused 2 (1)

White
Clinton 41
Trump 49

Hispanic
Clinton 65
Trump 24

Black
Clinton 92
Trump 4

Great honer.

Those devastating numbers are from 9/8 actually, I fixed it. He only gained traction among Blacks (noise?), lost traction with Whites/Hispanics.

[Dr. Arch]

Hopefully, this will stop the insufferable panic that was about to ensue. The onset symptoms were already there.

[Xing]

Lyin' Crooked $h*tlery can't lead by double digits and is only headed for 350 EV? Junk candidate! Even Alan Grayson would be leading by at least 20%!

[Maxwell]

They probably could've pushed undecideds harder, but nevertheless, this is a hard poll to be upset about.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.

[The Other Castro]

Demographics seem decent, a bit high on Hispanics and low on Blacks.
-Party ID: D+6
-52% Female, 48% Male
-72% White, 12% Hispanic, 11% Black, 4% Asian

[HillOfANight]

Hopefully, this will stop the insufferable panic that was about to ensue. The onset symptoms were already there.

I won't stop panicking until the alleged second Trump tape Rick Wilson keeps talking about drops. We need to win Georgia/Arizona/Indiana

[Ebsy]

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.

Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

[Devout Centrist]

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

[Mr. Morden]

Dems
Clinton 89%
Trump 4%
Johnson 2%
Stein 2%

GOP
Trump 80%
Clinton 8%
Johnson 3%
Stein 2%

Indies
Clinton 36%
Trump 35%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

men: Clinton +5
women: Clinton +15
Midwest: Clinton +8
Northeast: Clinton +22
South: Clinton +3
West: Clinton +13

fav/unfav %:
Clinton 46/47% for -1%
Stein 13/26% for -13%
Johnson 15/34% for -19%
Trump 31/61% for -30%

[Speed of Sound]

They probably could've pushed undecideds harder, but nevertheless, this is a hard poll to be upset about.

Probably, but that makes 48% look all the better.

[The Other Castro]

-1% favorability? Damnnnnn

[Antonio the Sixth]

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.

Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Going back and forth between a virtual tie and Clinton+10 three times over is not "remarkably stable".