NBC/WSJ/Marist: NH-Clinton +9 NV-Tied

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

NH looks good but NV is unbelievable based on the early vote.

I think you've been here long enough to know about NV polling and why you look at field data and not polling. And since ground game is the game and Clinton has an amazing one and Trump basically has none, it's even more pointless.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Every Dem operative is either optimistic or giddy about NV...don't think Clinton is worried too much about this state. Trump has never led in any aggregate of NH over the campaign..that's not going to change in the next 13 days. Both are solid D.

Remember that Every Romney operative believed he was going to win in a landslide nationally, at least publicly. Every McCain operative believed McCain was going to eke it out nationally, at least publicly.

No Operative is going to come out and say "WAAH!! WE ARE GOING TO LOSE!!!!".

Except Dem field operators vs Romneys... false equivalence.