NBC/WSJ/Marist: NH-Clinton +9 NV-Tied

[NOVA Green]

So this confirms pollster don't know what they're doing with Nevada for the most part.

Agreed...

We have some some wild swings in Nevada polling numbers over the course of the post-convention era, but the consensus of polls shows NV at more like C +4 which jives better with the EV numbers than this poll.

[NOVA Green]

Every Dem operative is either optimistic or giddy about NV...don't think Clinton is worried too much about this state. Trump has never led in any aggregate of NH over the campaign..that's not going to change in the next 13 days. Both are solid D.

Remember that Every Romney operative believed he was going to win in a landslide nationally, at least publicly. Every McCain operative believed McCain was going to eke it out nationally, at least publicly.

No Operative is going to come out and say "WAAH!! WE ARE GOING TO LOSE!!!!".

That being said, I will wait for someone else to find a Tie in NV and Heck ~+7 before changing any of my ratings based on those numbers.

Jon Ralston has essentially said the Presidential race is over in Nevada.

Yeah--- saw him earlier on MSNBC and he basically called out Chuck Todd/NBC on their NV poll, and said he thinks NV is looking more like +6-7 C at this point in the race.