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| | | | |-+  NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV  (Read 816 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 26, 2016, 04:02:40 pm »

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/791384071498829825

New Hampshire:

Ayotte 48%
Hassan 47%

Nevada:

Heck 49%
Cortez-Masto 42%
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 04:03:14 pm »

Clearly their NV sample was way too R friendly. NH is more believable.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2016, 04:03:38 pm »

Very good poll for Republicans, even if the NV numbers are too Rep-friendly.
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2016, 04:04:01 pm »

Nobody has any idea whats going on in the NC and NV senate races apparently.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2016, 04:06:15 pm »

NV crosstabs will be quite laughable whenever I find them.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2016, 04:13:25 pm »

That was Ayotte +8 in their last poll.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2016, 04:14:26 pm »

Nobody has any idea whats going on in the NC and NV senate races apparently.
Yes, this (you probably mean NH, but it is true for NC too...). It is starting to get really confusing. Marist is a good pollster.

No way Heck is up 7, but I do think the NV races may have become closer in the last week, the Senate race now being back from tilt D to a total tossup. If Heck overperforms Trump by 7, he may win.
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« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2016, 04:15:04 pm »

Great, the boy wonder from Queens might actually squeak this out!
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King Francis I
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« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2016, 04:19:48 pm »

And I believe the NV results are totally trash. Most NV polls are showing a tiny CCM lead, so a big Heck lead isn't believable.
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2016, 04:21:10 pm »

I don't believe NV, I do believe NH.
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« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2016, 04:22:06 pm »

That was Ayotte +8 in their last poll.

And Heck +2.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2016, 04:23:45 pm »

It's not hard to believe that the slight tightening of the presidential polls over the last week has improved the positions of Republican candidates too, so if CCM was up 2 in polls early last week, Heck could well be leading by 1-2 right now.
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2016, 04:28:08 pm »

Oh, screw it. I give up on Senate polls. Let's just skip to election day and see what happens.
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2016, 04:52:03 pm »

Oh, screw it. I give up on Senate polls. Let's just skip to election day and see what happens.

Word, man.
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2016, 04:54:57 pm »

Oh, screw it. I give up on Senate polls. Let's just skip to election day and see what happens.

Word, man.
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« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2016, 05:17:43 pm »

Let's go, Joe!

Really want those NV numbers to be true. If Heck loses it sure will be one painful loss.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2016, 05:26:18 pm »

I had already given up on Heck after his brave, principled, yet ill-advised unendorsement of Trump, but I'm starting to get back to believing it may be possible.
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« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2016, 05:36:54 pm »

NH clearly should be kept at Toss-Up until just before the election
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