Why is the race tightening again?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Everyone here's already forgotten about the premium hike with Obamacare?

I thought that too, but somebody pointed out in another thread that most of the polls ended on or before yesterday.

Again - it's too complicated to have an impact, the media really hasn't paid that much attention to it after 24 hours and most people won't be paying ANYWHERE near the increases being suggested.

Indeed, it is. But it might and probably will be simplified it to 25% HIGHER!!!!111111 F**K OBAMACARE !!!!111
So it will help Trump a bit, of course.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

If I was a Red hack, I would start to panic, when Seriously? is back on track again.

His last post is from October 23, 2016.

It will be Trump's serious comeback

[Erich Maria Remarque]

if arrogance would make you lose voters, trump would poll 10 under zero.

He is among Blacks

[Erich Maria Remarque]

You are literally an idiot if you vote for Trump.  A vote for him means you have no concept of how the world actually works.

Sadly, roughly half of the country is stupid and deranged.  That's the reason he got nominated in the first place.

Let's chill out a bit okay? Civility is a virtue.

Stop defending orange fascist!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Had Donald Trump kept a lid on inflammatory remarks, and had he had a firmer grasp of policy and been better in the debates, he would be winning this election handily.  He could have beaten any other Democrat - Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Russ Feingold, he would have wiped the floor with Martin O'Malley, John Hickenlooper, Andrew Cuomo...

Sad, but true. Farag'ish Trump would be a deal

[Erich Maria Remarque]

I do believe she will win. It is just a bit jarring to see some of the posts on here from folks planning their celebration for election night when it is in part still flying around.

Hillary will run up huge margins in CA NY and other blue states. That doesn't help her one bit in FL or OH. Again, do the math.

maths

Not in the US, mate.

The United States is tops in the world in confidence in our ability to do mathematics.

USA! USA! USA! USA!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

[Erich Maria Remarque]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-the-polls-disagree-and-thats-ok

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[Erich Maria Remarque]

Deplorable clickbait Nate Silver is in a good mood again...
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/

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[Erich Maria Remarque]

Why do people always compare Trump to Farage?

The ~same policies. No?

Farage is a very likable person. Farage is the kind of person who can easily sell you a bag of dog poop for 10,000 dollars, and you wouldn't even notice. Trump is the exact opposite of Farage. Trump makes everything look much worse than it actually is, simply because he hates the world so much and everything that is not Trump (or has a connection to) is by definition awful. Farage is a political star in Europe/UK for a reason. And there's a very good reason why his UKIP is now crumbling before our eyes and absolutely without any ability to choose a new leader. Because without Farage at its helmet, the party is nothing anymore. And might even risk disappearing completely. Farage is one of the most charismatic politicians in UK political history. That's why he managed to grow his party that quickly and big as it got within a very short span of time.

Yep

[Erich Maria Remarque]

The 60-day race oscillation won't get to an inflection point fast enough for Trump to have a chance.  If the election were held on Nov 28 Clinton would be in trouble.

The model takes it to account and gives 20% Trump. Yeah, I know, you think that 538 is too kind to him, but it's f**king Trump. Even 5% of winning is a great honor