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  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  PA-NYT Upshot/Siena: McGinty +3
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Author Topic: PA-NYT Upshot/Siena: McGinty +3  (Read 1205 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 27, 2016, 07:11:15 am »

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/27/upshot/pennsylvania-poll.html

McGinty 47%
Toomey 44%
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 07:37:11 am »

Wooo
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2016, 09:11:44 am »

This is still a Tossup.
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Vega
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2016, 09:31:47 am »

This is still a Tossup.
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Castro
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2016, 09:38:47 am »

Polls have been close, though Toomey probably won't be able to outperform Trump by much more than 5.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2016, 09:56:53 am »

This is still a Tossup.
You think this is a tossup but not NH? Huh
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20PETE20
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2016, 10:07:19 am »

It's happening.jpg
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2016, 10:29:59 am »

Oh thank God. We hadn't had good news from this race in a while.
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2016, 11:33:42 am »

These Upshot polls are unusual in their methodology.  I won't worry unless we get a normal poll to confirm that McGinty has retaken the lead.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2016, 12:59:14 pm »

These Upshot polls are unusual in their methodology.

They're unusual in a good way, because they sample based on actual lists of registered voters instead of stuff like phone directories. This means that their polls are less likely to be biased.
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SWE
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2016, 03:13:07 pm »

Yeah, McGinty has this race locked down. A Generic D vs. a Generic R in a state Hillary's going to win by double digits? Toomey doesn't have a chance. Safe D.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2016, 03:36:07 pm »

Definitely lean D.
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Shadows
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2016, 03:43:21 pm »

Mcginty is ahead by 3% within the MOE & no1 knows what will happen in the next couple of weeks, what the turnout will be among party based & people are ludicrously chanting good news.

This is a toss-up & an incredibly close race. Polls will go up n down with 2-3% here n there which would be easily flipped on the day of election. Unless someone consistently is up 5-6% in a few polls, this race is a TOSS-UP!
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SWE
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2016, 04:41:12 pm »

"within the MOE" lmao
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NV less likely to flip than FL/GA/ME/MN/NC/WI
xingkerui
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2016, 06:30:29 pm »

Tilt D, as it has been for a while.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2016, 06:36:39 pm »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Siena Research Institute on 2016-10-25

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, I: 0%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2016, 01:27:04 pm »

So many pure Tossup races this cycle...
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2016, 02:13:42 pm »

Yeah, McGinty has this race locked down. A Generic D vs. a Generic R in a state Hillary's going to win by double digits? Toomey doesn't have a chance. Safe D.

You can use this to spin whatever narrative you'd like about how bad the GOP is, but Toomey is better than a Genric R, IMO.
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swf541
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« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2016, 02:46:13 pm »

So many pure Tossup races this cycle...

Yea, this should be an interesting election night on the senate side
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