YouGov - National: Clinton +5
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 09:07:49 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  YouGov - National: Clinton +5
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: YouGov - National: Clinton +5  (Read 735 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 27, 2016, 11:39:43 AM »

Clinton 46 (+4)
Trump 41 (+3)
Johnson 4 (-2)
Stein 2 (+1)

Source
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,099
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 11:41:24 AM »

RIP Gary Johnson, it was a big aleppo faith to vote for him in the first place.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2016, 11:49:44 AM »

HRC gaining steadily.
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2016, 11:51:11 AM »

PLEASANT POLL!
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,347


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2016, 11:51:59 AM »

RIP Gary Johnson, it was a big aleppo faith to vote for him in the first place.

*groan*
Logged
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,298
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2016, 12:20:29 PM »


Core supporters of both parties 'coming home'?
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2016, 12:22:14 PM »

2-way LV:
Hillary Clinton: 49%
Donald Trump: 46%

2-way RV:
Hillary Clinton: 48%
Donald Trump: 46%
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2016, 12:30:37 PM »

Trump is at 1% support among blacks…tied for 3rd place with Johnson:
Clinton 86%
Stein 2%
Johnson 1%
Trump 1%

Other demos…

Dems
Clinton 91%
Trump 4%
Johnson 1%
Stein 0%

GOP
Trump 82%
Clinton 7%
Johnson 3%
Stein 1%

Indies
Trump 45%
Clinton 31%
Johnson 8%
Stein 4%

men: Trump +4
women: Clinton +12
under 30: Clinton +25
30-44: Clinton +20
45-64: Clinton +4
65+: Trump +22
whites: Trump +15
blacks: Clinton +84 (over Stein)
Hispanics: Clinton +49
under $50k: Clinton +2
$50-100k: tie
over $100k: Clinton +22

So yeah, oddly enough, they have Clinton basically tied with Trump among voters making less than $100k, but with a 20 point lead among those making over $100k.  The over $100k subsample is ~200 people.

fav/unfav %:
Clinton 41/58% for -17%
Trump 38/61% for -23%
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2016, 12:40:58 PM »


Core supporters of both parties 'coming home'?

The thing is, even in most of the recent polls that have Trump still somewhat competitive, his gains seem to be mostly coming from self-described Independents rather than Republicans.  Trump is still getting not much more than 80% of Republicans.  In this poll, for example, this is how much support Clinton and Trump gained/lost among the different party crosstabs compared to the previous poll:

Dems
Clinton +8
Trump -3

GOP
Clinton +4
Trump +1

Indies
Clinton -1
Trump +8

So both Clinton and Trump are gaining at the expense of 3rd parties/undecided, but Clinton's new support comes more from Dems, while Trump's new support comes from Indies (though I'm assuming those are self-described Indies who normally vote GOP).  In this poll at least, Clinton is actually gaining more ground with Republicans than Trump is.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2016, 12:47:17 PM »

More crosstabs…

People who voted in the Dem. primaries:
Clinton 85%
Trump 6%
Stein 3%
Johnson 1%

People who voted in the GOP primaries:
Trump 78%
Clinton 11%
Johnson 4%
Stein 0%

People who supported Sanders in the primaries:
Clinton 71%
Trump 9%
Stein 7%
Johnson 3%

People who supported a Republican candidate other than Trump in the primaries:
Trump 65%
Clinton 17%
Johnson 9%
Stein 0%

Also, 98% of Clinton supporters from the primaries still support her in the GE, with the other 2% undecided.  94% of Trump supporters from the primaries still support him in the GE, with the other 6% supporting other candidates or undecided.
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,351
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2016, 01:03:15 PM »

As many of us suspected, as election day nears, people will flee supporting a third-party candidate and choose either of the two-major candidates.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2016, 01:04:37 PM »

More crosstabs…

People who voted in the Dem. primaries:
Clinton 85%
Trump 6%
Stein 3%
Johnson 1%

People who voted in the GOP primaries:
Trump 78%
Clinton 11%
Johnson 4%
Stein 0%

People who supported Sanders in the primaries:
Clinton 71%
Trump 9%
Stein 7%
Johnson 3%

People who supported a Republican candidate other than Trump in the primaries:
Trump 65%
Clinton 17%
Johnson 9%
Stein 0%

Also, 98% of Clinton supporters from the primaries still support her in the GE, with the other 2% undecided.  94% of Trump supporters from the primaries still support him in the GE, with the other 6% supporting other candidates or undecided.


YES! YES! YES! YES! YES!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D3i21PXEvX8
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2016, 03:29:27 PM »

I suspect it will become pretty clear after the election that YouGov is still a very bad pollster.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.038 seconds with 13 queries.