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  Quinnipiac-GA: Trump +1 IA: Tied + NC: Clinton +4 VA: Clinton +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac-GA: Trump +1 IA: Tied + NC: Clinton +4 VA: Clinton +12  (Read 6591 times)
BoAtlantis
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« on: October 27, 2016, 02:01:16 pm »
« edited: October 27, 2016, 02:12:01 pm by BoAtlantis »

https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2397

GA

Clinton 43
Trump 44
Johnson 8

IA
Clinton 44
Trump 44
Johnson 4

NC
Clinton 47
Trump 43
Johnson 5

VA
Clinton 50
Trump 38
Johnson 4

Head-to-head matchups among likely voters show:
Georgia: Clinton-Trump tied at 46 - 46 percent;
Iowa: Trump at 47 percent to Clinton's 46 percent;
North Carolina: Clinton leads Trump 50 - 44 percent;
Virginia: Clinton buries Trump 53 - 40 percent.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 02:03:12 pm »

Glad to see IA coming back for her.

Quinnipiac has a slight Republican bias so she could win here. I've been pessimistic about this state.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2016, 02:17:35 pm »


A- if I recall
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BoAtlantis
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Posts: 791


« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2016, 03:00:40 pm »

I can't tell you the exact reason but

Fivethirtyeight

decreased Hillary's chance in NC
decreased Hillary's chance in GA
decreased Hillary's chance nationally

My incomplete explanation is that she has to expand her rubber band if she wants to go any higher like something showing GA Clinton +5.

Anything that continues to solidify Trump's lead in red leaning state can only bring her down.
It becomes exponentially more difficult to go from 85% to 90%; 90% to 95% and so on.
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