Quinnipiac-GA: Trump +1 IA: Tied + NC: Clinton +4 VA: Clinton +12

[Maxwell]

this is waaaay better than even I expected. Wow!

somehow Nate Silver's math isn't adding up to me - all of these polls should improve Clinton's chances.

[Maxwell]

I thought the left worships at the altar of Nate Silver.

"the left" likes accurate, coherent analysis, which Silver has been doing less and less of, replacing it with clickbait articles and bloviating punditisms.

[Maxwell]

h2h:

Georgia - 46% Clinton v. 46% Trump
Iowa - 47% Trump v. 46% Clinton
North Carolina - 50% Clinton v. 44% Trump (!!!)
Virginia - 53% Clinton v. 41% Trump

[Maxwell]

She also leads 61-27 (!!!) among Iowa early voters, which means if the bottom drops on Trumper enthusiasm, Iowa could get ugly quickly.

[Maxwell]

RCP had a compromise - they put in the North Carolina and Iowa polls, but hilariously not the Georgia or the Virginia polls.

insert perspiration dog gif.

[Maxwell]

withdrawing my complaint - they just added georgia.

[Maxwell]

this is waaaay better than even I expected. Wow!

somehow Nate Silver's math isn't adding up to me - all of these polls should improve Clinton's chances.

The United States is tops in the world in confidence in our ability to do mathematics.
USA! USA! USA! USA!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

Are you critiquing Silver or me?

I mean I guess the big swinger is the Missouri poll showing Trump up 11, but really why should a Missouri poll swing it that much when we basically know Trump is going to win Missouri?