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December 09, 2019, 06:24:58 pm
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Emerson: FL HRC+1, OH Tie, NV HRC +2, NC HRC +3, WI HRC +6
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Author Topic: Emerson: FL HRC+1, OH Tie, NV HRC +2, NC HRC +3, WI HRC +6  (Read 2081 times)
Dave Leip
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« Reply #25 on: October 29, 2016, 06:12:11 pm »

New Poll: Nevada President by Emerson College on 2016-10-27

Summary: D: 44%, R: 42%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #26 on: October 29, 2016, 06:19:43 pm »

The question with regard to landline polls is do they get weighted so they reflect what the numbers would be if they included cell phones. I mean if the pollster wants their polls to be taken seriously then surely they would.

I'm not sure what you mean.  Both kinds of polls are weighted to match the demographics of the electorate.  The issue is more that people who answer cell phone polls but not landline polls or vice versa might vote systematically differently, even for people of the same demographic group.

Also, there are certain demographics where landline answerers might be such a tiny fraction of the population that you have to give them extremely large weights.  Which doesn't necessarily bias things one way or the other, but inflates the MoE.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #27 on: October 29, 2016, 06:42:45 pm »

For comparison, their Senate results are: Rubio+2, Burr+4, Heck+4, Feingold+5, Portman+14

So Clinton running ahead of every Dem. Senate candidate in their poll.

Rubio seems to be in trouble these last few weeks.

Last two polls i've seen now were a tie from PPP and -2 here. Can we give Murphy his money back? The Obama bounce is real.
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