Emerson: FL HRC+1, OH Tie, NV HRC +2, NC HRC +3, WI HRC +6

[Ozymandias]

For comparison, their Senate results are: Rubio+2, Portman+14, Heck+4, Burr+4, Feingold+5

So Clinton running ahead of every Dem. Senate candidate in their poll.

[Ozymandias]

Here are the breakdowns for the early voters in each of these four pols (details starting here: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=249803.msg5350583#msg5350583)

FL: Clinton - 57, Trump - 42, Johnson - 0.4, Stein - 0.4 (based on 257 of 500 LV = 51%)

NC: Clinton - 59, Trump - 37, Johnson - 0.4 (based on 209 of 650 LV = 32%)

NV: Clinton - 49, Trump - 32, Johnson - 2.5 (based on 237 of 550 LV = 43%)

OH: Clinton - 59, Trump - 35, Johnson - 0, Stein - 0 (based on 223 of 800 LV = 28%)

(Note Stein not on ballot in NC or NV)