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Author Topic: AK-Craciun Research: Clinton +4  (Read 3471 times)
Moderate Pennsylvanian
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« on: October 29, 2016, 08:22:17 pm »

Oct. 21-26

Clinton 47
Trump 43
Johnson 7
Stein 3

http://www.craciunresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Press-Release_Presidential-Election-2016_Alaska-Survey_Craciun-Research-_102916.pdf
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2016, 08:22:49 pm »

wat
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2016, 08:23:08 pm »

BEAUTIFUL! Send Bernie to Anchorage!
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fuck nazis
heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2016, 08:23:18 pm »



BEAUTIFUL! Send Bernie to Anchorage!

Honestly this isn't a bad idea. Gary Johnson is only at 7% in this poll, which is probably lowballing him, but if Bernie and friends can turn them into Clinton voters, this can actually happen.
« Last Edit: October 29, 2016, 08:25:05 pm by heatcharger »Logged

Invisible Obama
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2016, 08:25:34 pm »

Alaska is about to leave Trump out in the cold. Ice, Ice, baby.
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LOCK TRUMP UP!
OneJ
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2016, 08:26:56 pm »

OH MY GOD!!!
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matthew27
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2016, 08:27:15 pm »

Awesome news!!!!
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2016, 08:27:55 pm »

Prepare for Atlas dems to be crushed when AK inevitably goes to Trump because AK polling is bad :/
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2016, 08:28:47 pm »

Alaska may end up being the biggest surprise on the night.
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Edu
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2016, 08:29:25 pm »

Prepare for Atlas dems to be crushed when AK inevitably goes to Trump because AK polling is bad :/

Why would they be crushed after the 300+ Hillary Clinton win?
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2016, 08:30:43 pm »

Prepare for Atlas dems to be crushed when AK inevitably goes to Trump because AK polling is bad :/

Why would they be crushed after the 300+ Hillary Clinton win?
because it's Atlas lol
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2016, 08:30:53 pm »

It'd be a fun feather in the cap, but I don't see it flipping until I see more....which we won't.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2016, 08:31:10 pm »

Prepare for Atlas dems to be crushed when AK inevitably goes to Trump because AK polling is bad :/

Alaska polls were actually pretty good in 2014 while polls across the rest of the country were wrong all over the place. I'm not saying this will for sure be accurate, because I've never heard of this pollster, but Alaska's trended D for the past 3 elections for a reason.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2016, 08:33:44 pm »

Is this a Romanian firm? Craciun means Christman in Romanian.
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2016, 08:34:17 pm »

Alaska is about to leave Trump out in the cold. Ice, Ice, baby.

At least Hillary is pretty vanilla compared to Trump. Smiley
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"A kiss can be 10 times more effective than morphine in reducing pain by triggering the body's natural painkillers."

Trump equals Satan. If people doesn't start to realize that extremely basic part of human being, then I'm gonna start to self-destruct pretty soon.
eric82oslo
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2016, 08:43:11 pm »

The Gender Gap is at levels not experienced in the recent past with women supporting Clinton by a margin of 17% (55% to 38% respectively).  Further impacting the race is the unprecedented endorsement of Clinton by the Alaska Federation of Natives board.  In the rural North and Northwest regions of the State, the poll shows Clinton is beating Trump by a margin of almost 5:1 (74% to 15%).   The poll may also shed light on who the 18% still undecided voters may pick. “If you look at non-partisan voters, Secretary Clinton is winning by a margin of 15 points.  That may give you a sense of how the undecided voters will lean on Election Day,” according to pollster Jean Craciun.   Craciun Research has been one of the premier political, non-partisan polling and strategy firms in the Northwest for the last 30 years.

It is called Craciun because of the surname of the CEO. Wink
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"A kiss can be 10 times more effective than morphine in reducing pain by triggering the body's natural painkillers."

Trump equals Satan. If people doesn't start to realize that extremely basic part of human being, then I'm gonna start to self-destruct pretty soon.
heatcharger
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« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2016, 08:43:42 pm »

This firm was Lisa Murkowski's internal pollster in 2010.

Also, the results before they pushed undecideds were:

Clinton 36%
Trump 33%
Johnson 6%
Stein 3%
Undecided 18%
« Last Edit: October 29, 2016, 08:46:11 pm by heatcharger »Logged

PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2016, 08:44:11 pm »

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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2016, 08:44:47 pm »

Never heard of this pollster, but it definitely seems like something is up in Alaska.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #19 on: October 29, 2016, 08:47:51 pm »

If they were Murkowski's internal pollster, presumably they know how to poll the state.  Good news! 

Alaska's been a state I've had my eye on for a while, glad to see it in play.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #20 on: October 29, 2016, 08:48:02 pm »

I hope Native Americans, latinos and Mormons will embarrass Trump so badly in this election. Tongue Throw in Asians, blacks and women too, for good measure. Wink
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"A kiss can be 10 times more effective than morphine in reducing pain by triggering the body's natural painkillers."

Trump equals Satan. If people doesn't start to realize that extremely basic part of human being, then I'm gonna start to self-destruct pretty soon.
mark_twain
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« Reply #21 on: October 29, 2016, 08:48:10 pm »


Great poll!

Let's keep it up!
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« Reply #22 on: October 29, 2016, 08:49:17 pm »

Obama was up in a lot of Alaska polling in 2008 before McCain had picked Palin as his VP.
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Hammy
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« Reply #23 on: October 29, 2016, 08:50:12 pm »

Prepare for Atlas dems to be crushed when AK inevitably goes to Trump because AK polling is bad :/

Why would they be crushed after the 300+ Hillary Clinton win?
because it's Atlas lol

I can see Trump losing every state in the country except New Hampshire and seeing the forum go into meltdown.
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« Reply #24 on: October 29, 2016, 08:56:39 pm »

I do believe that I made a "Crazy Prediction" of Alaska flipping to Clinton this year....

At this point, I am seriously thinking of moving Alaska into a "Tossup" (Trump) status on my prediction map.

I believe that it is entirely possible that loggers and fishermen, of my fellow Pacific-Northwest state could well combine with the historically Democratic voters of Juneau and the peninsula.

Throw in Anchorage swinging hard-D, suppressed Rep turnout in Mat-Su, add on a mix of 1st Nation communities, and also my personal theory that Trump's comments about "Taking Iraqi Oil" are hitting him hard in the Oil Patch, this scenario is not totally unfeasible.
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