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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL-Gravis Marketing: Hillary+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Gravis Marketing: Hillary+1  (Read 1212 times)
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Posts: 4,560
United States

Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -9.57

« on: October 30, 2016, 04:59:16 am »

Rubio and Murphy tied at 46 in Senate

lmao. Murphy is going to pull this out of the hat at the last moment, isn't he?
Holy sh*t, what if the landslide happens?

If people are tired of the goddamn republican games there will be!

You Dem hacks are delusional.

You mean Democratic hacks like Charlie Cook, who is currently predicting a net gain of 5-7 in the Senate for Democrats. The toss-ups don't split down the middle, even in fairly even years (even in 2000, Democrats won 78% of the toss-ups). Cook already has 2 seats leaning D and 7 toss-ups (1D, 6R). A 5-seat gain means Democrats have only won 57% of the toss-ups, a 6-seat gain means Democrats have won 71% of the toss-ups, and a 7-seat gain means Democrats have won 86% of the toss-ups. If history is any guide, Democrats will either gain 6-7 seats and win the Senate or lose the Senate with only 2-3 pick-ups. Anything else would be unprecedented in recent elections.
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