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November 21, 2019, 06:20:44 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

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  FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4  (Read 5995 times)
BoAtlantis
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« on: October 30, 2016, 07:37:41 am »

I kinda figured Selzer was up to something.
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BoAtlantis
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Posts: 791


« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2016, 08:31:38 am »

IIRC, Cohn mentioned one of the downsides of this type of polling is that it fails to pick up on new registrants, which would miss a recent surge in Hispanics registration. That alone probably wouldn't yield a Trump +4 lead though.

That's correct. They use voter registration file so it won't pick up the most recently registered voters.

But nonetheless, 4 point lead is huge.
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