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| | | | |-+  FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4  (Read 5459 times)
BoAtlantis
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« on: October 30, 2016, 07:37:41 am »

I kinda figured Selzer was up to something.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2016, 08:31:38 am »

IIRC, Cohn mentioned one of the downsides of this type of polling is that it fails to pick up on new registrants, which would miss a recent surge in Hispanics registration. That alone probably wouldn't yield a Trump +4 lead though.

That's correct. They use voter registration file so it won't pick up the most recently registered voters.

But nonetheless, 4 point lead is huge.
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