FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4 (user search)
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  FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4  (Read 8087 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: October 30, 2016, 07:05:55 AM »

Hmmm - interesting.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2016, 07:10:54 AM »

That's not good at all (their modeling is good). However they got an 11 point divergence between NC and FL which is very weird

It's funny that the commentary around this, whilst arguing the numbers are possible, is very quick pour cold water as this being definitive.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2016, 07:21:39 AM »


Hmmm. No. Smiley
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2016, 07:32:21 AM »

Something seems off though when their model is getting such wildly diffrent results from NC and FL.

Honestly, the minority support for Trump do seem very generous. We'll see.
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