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  FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Upshot/Siena: Trump +4  (Read 6060 times)
Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,255
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: October 30, 2016, 09:56:41 am »

Never Trump Hispanics are coming home. Grand!
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Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,255
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2016, 09:59:42 am »

Next thing is Ana Navarro voting Trump.
And next thing after that - Torie voting Trump. Smiley
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Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,255
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2016, 12:19:39 pm »

I just don't understand where a Trump lead would come from is all - hispanics are turning against him, and there hasn't been any polling showing Trump doing any better than Romney with white voters.

No. Hispanics are coming home.
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Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,255
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2016, 01:23:10 pm »

I will say about Florida, Trump has been spending an insane amount of time campaigning there, to the detriment of his campaign elsewhere. The presence of a candidate in a state can temporarily impact polling.

Florida is a must win state for Trump.


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Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,255
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2016, 01:25:00 pm »

I think something is happening that is unique to Florida.  Early voting shows insane turnout in the retiree counties, basically even with the total 2012 early vote already.  She needs a ton of crossover from Cuban R's to stay in this.

Cubans are coming home to Trump.
That's pretty clear.
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Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,255
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2016, 01:27:32 pm »

Tender and all of these Trump supporters need calm down. There is no way Trump will get 11% of the Black vote (You can only dream). Also, Trump is doing somewhat worse among Latinos than the 59-30 margin obviously.

Stop it. Hillary is winning FL (albeit a bit close).

OK. We just need to wait 9 more days and see for sure.

I'm not saying Trump will win Florida by a big margin. I think the best he can hope for is a 1-2% win.
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