Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 22, 2019, 04:05:49 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  CA, Sacramento State, Clinton +36 (4-way), OCT. 7-13, 622LV
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: CA, Sacramento State, Clinton +36 (4-way), OCT. 7-13, 622LV  (Read 3006 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,650
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2016, 02:04:35 pm »

http://www.csus.edu/isr/calspeaks/surveys/october%202016%20election%20topline.pdf

OCT. 7-13, 622   LV

61% Hillary Clinton, Democratic Party
25% Donald Trump, Republican Party
4%   Gary Johnson, Libertarian Party
3%   Jill Stein, Green Party
8%   Other/Undecided/Donít Know



Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

#Atlas      hate
#Clickbait Nate
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,546
United States


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2016, 02:05:18 pm »

25% in CA, hahaha.
Logged
Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,484
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2016, 02:06:55 pm »

Backed up by the GOP vote-by-mail collapse this year.
Logged
Buh her emails!
diskymike44
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,381


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2016, 02:08:02 pm »

Remember when Trump said California was in play?
Logged
Speaker OneJ
OneJ_
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,028
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -2.26

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2016, 02:08:47 pm »

"TRUMP is going to flip California!!!"-StatesPoll
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,551
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2016, 02:10:27 pm »

#failinNate

Logged
Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,269
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2016, 02:12:17 pm »

Come on.

California is going to be a disaster for Trump.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,695
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2016, 02:14:23 pm »

If only Trump would win because then they would secede and Trump would support it. This state needs to get out. As bad as it gets.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,120
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2016, 02:14:53 pm »

Issa, Knight and Valadao must be sweating like DOGS!
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,551
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2016, 02:15:54 pm »

To Trumps credit:

Logged
JA
Jacobin American
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,361
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2016, 02:23:58 pm »

California proves, yet again, why I was right to make it one of my favorite states. True FF state.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,185
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2016, 02:25:11 pm »

Is Nate's stuff really doing so bad that he needs to clickbait like this? What a fall from grace journalistically.
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,740
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2016, 02:26:26 pm »

California will be more of an Estonia or Latvia than a Belarus or Kazakhstan when Trump's Nationalistic pull causes the nation to start to fracture like what happened in the 80s in the USSR.
Logged
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2016, 02:51:55 pm »

Will there be any R's in the CA House delegation in 10 years?

Yes. CA-01 was 57% Romney, CA-04 was 58% Romney, CA-08 was 56% Romney, CA-22 was 57% Romney, CA-23 was 62% Romney, CA-42 was 57% Romney, CA-50 was 60% Romney. All of those are unflippable. CA-45 and CA-48 were 55% Romney and thus are very close to unflippable. But with only these seats going R, the breakdown would be 44-9 D (or 46-7 if CA-45/48 were flipped), which is a pretty significant change from the current 39-14 D breakdown.
Logged
politicallefty
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,524
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -9.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2016, 02:58:07 pm »

California will be more of an Estonia or Latvia than a Belarus or Kazakhstan when Trump's Nationalistic pull causes the nation to start to fracture like what happened in the 80s in the USSR.

The population and significance of California is far more than the Baltic states to Russia. With that said, I'm seriously wanting California to declare its independence as a new nation. A new California Republic would be greater than anything California could achieve as a state.
Logged
Interlocutor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 918


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2016, 03:03:56 pm »
« Edited: October 30, 2016, 03:10:44 pm by Interlocutor »

New county predictions:




Also, they polled Prop 54 but didn't bother to poll Prop 61?

Ah who cares. Congrats Congressman Applegate!
Logged
Sensitive Soccer Moms Against Impeachment
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,487
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2016, 03:15:53 pm »

And this is why the Electoral College actually helps Trump.
Logged
PresidentSamTilden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 507


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2016, 03:17:37 pm »

Remember when Trump said California was in play?

So dumb. He got less votes WINNING his primary in a landslide than Bernie Sanders got LOSING his. And it wasn't even close.
Logged
Tulsi "Both sides" Gabbard
Cashew
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,086
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2016, 03:19:54 pm »

California will be more of an Estonia or Latvia than a Belarus or Kazakhstan when Trump's Nationalistic pull causes the nation to start to fracture like what happened in the 80s in the USSR.

The population and significance of California is far more than the Baltic states to Russia. With that said, I'm seriously wanting California to declare its independence as a new nation. A new California Republic would be greater than anything California could achieve as a state.
Maybe when people realize how underrepresented they are in the senate?
Logged
JA
Jacobin American
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,361
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2016, 03:34:53 pm »

California will be more of an Estonia or Latvia than a Belarus or Kazakhstan when Trump's Nationalistic pull causes the nation to start to fracture like what happened in the 80s in the USSR.

The population and significance of California is far more than the Baltic states to Russia. With that said, I'm seriously wanting California to declare its independence as a new nation. A new California Republic would be greater than anything California could achieve as a state.
Maybe when people realize how underrepresented they are in the senate?

The fact that a state of nearly 40,000,000 has as many Senators as a state of 600,000 is a testament to how deeply flawed and undemocratic our upper chamber of the legislative branch really is.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,120
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2016, 03:41:08 pm »

California will be more of an Estonia or Latvia than a Belarus or Kazakhstan when Trump's Nationalistic pull causes the nation to start to fracture like what happened in the 80s in the USSR.

The population and significance of California is far more than the Baltic states to Russia. With that said, I'm seriously wanting California to declare its independence as a new nation. A new California Republic would be greater than anything California could achieve as a state.
Maybe when people realize how underrepresented they are in the senate?

The fact that a state of nearly 40,000,000 has as many Senators as a state of 600,000 is a testament to how deeply flawed and undemocratic our upper chamber of the legislative branch really is.

What was the difference back when the constitution was written between the most and least populous states?
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,520
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2016, 03:43:32 pm »

And this is why the Electoral College actually helps Trump.

Not to mention the fact that TX will certainly be closer this year, even if Trump still wins it easily.
Logged
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,912
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2016, 03:50:38 pm »

Yet again, I don't understand why Silver is getting so much crap for this.  He was wrong about Trump in the primaries, because he attached too much certainty to the lack of historical precedent for Trump.  It's very hard to calculate "unknown unknowns," and he fessed up to his errors doing so.  

But this isn't a case with "unknown unknowns."  This is the simple mathematical reality that, if Clinton gets a strong swing in California and Texas, that means a race with an even PV may have a very Trump-friendly electoral college make-up.  We're talking hundreds of thousands of votes between those two states.  He's not claiming this is a certainty or even likelihood, but something to consider, and it is.
Logged
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,022
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2016, 03:53:20 pm »

I continue to see TV commercials here in California that are pro-trump, vote for trump.
I laugh every time.
Don't get it.
Logged
Pro-Life Single Issue Voter
ExtremeRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,195


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 30, 2016, 03:58:34 pm »

Also, this poll increased Trump's chance of winning on 538's PP model from 22.9 to 23.3%.  I guess it is because there was already no chance for Trump to win CA and it shows that Clinton will be wasting a ton of votes in CA.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC