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Author Topic: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +3  (Read 944 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« on: October 31, 2016, 11:19:51 am »

47% Roy Blunt (R, inc.)
44% Jason Kander (D)

The poll was taken Oct. 27 and 28. It tallied 1,698 surveys with a margin of error of +/- 2.38% percent.

http://themissouritimes.com/35134/blunt-opens-lead-kander-new-poll/
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2016, 11:21:04 am »

Finally they release their poll!

Still a Toss-Up race though.
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Castro
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2016, 11:28:18 am »

Not a good poll at all for Blunt considering the pollster.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2016, 11:32:43 am »

Not a good poll at all for Blunt considering the pollster.
When it's affiliated with the campaign, it really is bad.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 11:36:10 am »

Terrible poll for Blunt, since this is (R)emington. If he underperforms Trump by 11, he'll probably lose.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 11:40:34 am »

This is a Tossup obviously, but do we need any more evidence that the coattail effect is exaggerated?
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DavidB.
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2016, 12:01:31 pm »

Haha, all pollsters are pro-R in the world of many posters Roll Eyes Blunt +3 is a perfectly believable poll result. This race is a tossup. You're going to get results varying from Kander +3 to Blunt +3.
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Jimmie
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2016, 12:04:38 pm »

Haha, all pollsters are pro-R in the world of many posters Roll Eyes Blunt +3 is a perfectly believable poll result. This race is a tossup. You're going to get results varying from Kander +3 to Blunt +3.


This is actually a Republican poll. But I am still scared.. maybe the forum was right when a few months ago many said Greitens would landslide.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2016, 12:10:33 pm »

Yes Remington is Republican, just like PPP is Democratic, but that does not mean there are methodological problems with their research. If any of you can point out Remington did anything wrong in conducting this poll I'll be the first to say you're right, but this does not seem like a particularly strange result at all. If this was Blunt +6, that would be fishy, but Blunt +3 is perfectly believable.

Not sure what Greitens has to do with this.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2016, 12:37:03 pm »

If you look at pretty much all of their other results, you'll find that this pollster has had a consistent Republican bias. PPP, while it is a Democratic pollster, has not had the same systemic bias, except in a few key races.

As for the coattail effect, well, if Heck, Toomey, and Ayotte all go down, that's some pretty solid evidence for coattails. One specific race with a strong Democratic challenger and a very generic incumbent doesn't exactly disprove what's been a very obvious trend over the past two decades.
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