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Author Topic: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6  (Read 1258 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« on: October 31, 2016, 12:10:58 pm »

48% John Gregg (D)
42% Eric Holcomb (R)
4% Rex Bell (L)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2016, 12:13:42 pm »

In a poll with Trump up 11 (reasonable) and Bayh in dead heat...

Congrats, Governor Moustache
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For England, James?

No. For me.
Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2016, 12:22:59 pm »

fantastic!
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Southern Delegate Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2016, 12:25:29 pm »

fantastic!
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Obama Clinton Masto Rosen Sisolak voter for Trump 2020
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 12:32:23 pm »

If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.
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Nevada is totally a Toss-Up, thanks to tens of thousands of voters like me. Smiley
Bismarck
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 12:34:19 pm »

Moving from tilt D to lean D.
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Tulsi "Both sides" Gabbard
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2016, 01:07:58 pm »

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libertpaulian
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2016, 01:16:38 pm »

Looks like Dems pick up IN and NC.
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Libertarian temporarily rooting for the Dems until the GOP purges itself of Trumpism.  Before you call me a righty or a leftist, wait until you see my post on an issue.  You'll get whiplash trying to figure me out.

Region Rat.  Libertarian.  ELCA Lutheran.  Juvenile Attorney for the State of Indiana.

2020 Presidential Endorsement: Anyone NOT Trump, a proponent of Bernie-ism, or a proponent of Tumblr SJW-ism.  Weld 2020, I guess.
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2016, 03:04:09 pm »

At least this poll isn't all bad. Awesome Mustache will defeat Discount Jeb!
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2016, 04:34:32 am »

Does anyone know what happened here?
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #10 on: December 31, 2016, 04:41:27 am »

If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.

Or maybe Trump will win by 19, and Gregg is toast.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: December 31, 2016, 04:44:28 am »

Does anyone know what happened here?

Pence homestate effect happened.
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Southern Delegate Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: December 31, 2016, 07:42:10 am »

Does anyone know what happened here?

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #13 on: December 31, 2016, 08:56:39 am »

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
This exactly. Trump's coattails were much longer. The same thing happened with Eric Greitens in MO. Hillary was just toxic in states like IN and MO that rapidly trend R.
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Go to sleep my dear
Go to sleep my brother
Tomorrow will be a better day
Tomorrow the sun will rise and the moon will set
And we'll arrive to a new world
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #14 on: December 31, 2016, 10:46:34 am »

Yeah, but Gregg seems like the type of Democrat who would get many Trump voters. Also, coattails weren't really a big factor in most gubernatorial races (heck, look at WV and VT, for example).

Does anyone know what happened here?

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.

Even if you assume a uniform swing, that would give Holcomb a lead of 2 points. But he won by 6 points on election day.
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Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech

Remember when MT Treasurer spent months and months telling us all that Heitkamp is favored and will easily win because of retail politics (TM)
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