IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 01:35:14 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6 		« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6  (Read 4786 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 31, 2016, 12:10:58 PM »
48% John Gregg (D)
42% Eric Holcomb (R)
4% Rex Bell (L)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2016, 12:13:42 PM »
In a poll with Trump up 11 (reasonable) and Bayh in dead heat...

Congrats, Governor Moustache
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2016, 12:22:59 PM »
fantastic!
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2016, 12:25:29 PM »
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 12:32:23 PM »
If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.
Logged
Bismarck
Chancellor
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,356


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 12:34:19 PM »
Moving from tilt D to lean D.
Logged
Cashew
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,566
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2016, 01:07:58 PM »
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2016, 01:16:38 PM »
Looks like Dems pick up IN and NC.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2016, 03:04:09 PM »
At least this poll isn't all bad. Awesome Mustache will defeat Discount Jeb!
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2016, 04:34:32 AM »
Does anyone know what happened here?
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,696


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: December 31, 2016, 04:41:27 AM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on October 31, 2016, 12:32:23 PM
If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.

Or maybe Trump will win by 19, and Gregg is toast.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 31, 2016, 04:44:28 AM »

Pence homestate effect happened.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,667
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: December 31, 2016, 07:42:10 AM »

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
Logged
DavidB.
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,613
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: December 31, 2016, 08:56:39 AM »
This exactly. Trump's coattails were much longer. The same thing happened with Eric Greitens in MO. Hillary was just toxic in states like IN and MO that rapidly trend R.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: December 31, 2016, 10:46:34 AM »
Yeah, but Gregg seems like the type of Democrat who would get many Trump voters. Also, coattails weren't really a big factor in most gubernatorial races (heck, look at WV and VT, for example).


Even if you assume a uniform swing, that would give Holcomb a lead of 2 points. But he won by 6 points on election day.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.032 seconds with 15 queries.