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August 23, 2019, 08:07:04 am
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  VA/ME/IL-Emerson: Clinton +4 in VA and ME, +12 in IL (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA/ME/IL-Emerson: Clinton +4 in VA and ME, +12 in IL  (Read 1690 times)
RFayette
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« on: November 01, 2016, 12:19:30 pm »

According to 538, this poll does have Clinton +1 in ME-02, but just +6 in ME-01.

The gap between the two districts is almost certainly bigger than this.  I'd interpret Clinton+4 in Maine as an automatic win in the second district for Trump just based on demographics, especially since the district-level sample sizes are smaller and thus have a larger MoE than the topline number.


But it's Emerson, so this poll isn't worth that much anyway.
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