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Author Topic: MO, Monmouth, Trump +14 (4-way)  (Read 1068 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
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« on: November 01, 2016, 12:10:28 pm »

The Monmouth University Poll  was conducted by telephone from October 28 to 31, 2016 with 405 Missouri residents likely to vote in the November election.  This sample has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_MO_110116/
https://www.monmouth.edu/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=40802212044

Compared to    OCT. 9-11

Trump  52% (+6)
Clinton 38%  (-3)
Johnson  4%   (-1)  
Stein      2%    (-)
Other     1%     (-)
Undecided   4% (-1)

Quote
The poll was conducted from Friday through Monday, after news broke about the FBI investigation of new emails during Clinton's tenure as Secretary of State.  Only 4% of Missouri voters say this news caused them to change their mind about which candidate they would support.  The vast majority (87%) say these latest developments has had no impact on their vote and 8% are unaware of the news.
Lol, only 4% changed their mind. O-N-L-Y, lol
« Last Edit: November 01, 2016, 12:26:20 pm by Happy Sad Trumpista »Logged
Castro
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 12:11:05 pm »

Blunt underperforming Trump by 13 points.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 12:12:13 pm »

That is an absolutely massive lead.  I would be really surprised if he doesn't drag Blunt over the finish line.

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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 12:12:21 pm »

Blunt underperforming Trump by 13 points.

Beautiful!! What a movement we have! In spite of the GOP being such a horrible institution, voters see Trump is not part of it! Great!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 12:13:15 pm »

Blunt underperforming Trump by 13 points.

Beautiful!! What a movement we have! In spite of the GOP being such a horrible institution, voters see Trump is not part of it! Great!
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Ljube
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2016, 12:14:32 pm »

Blunt underperforming Trump by 13 points.

Beautiful!! What a movement we have! In spite of the GOP being such a horrible institution, voters see Trump is not part of it! Great!
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RFayette
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2016, 12:16:39 pm »

Gosh, Roy Blunt is such an idiot.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2016, 12:18:24 pm »

Gosh, Roy Blunt is such an idiot.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2016, 12:20:25 pm »

Huh
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2016, 12:21:57 pm »

SENATE: Blunt 47, Kander 46

There's no way Trump is going to do 5 points better than Romney, which means this poll is great news for Kander...
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2016, 12:22:00 pm »


Why would conservatives be happy that Blunt is underperforming by 13 and could risk the GOP the senate? Remember, there are still very many 'normal/traditional' Republicans and conservatives that aren't red-blooded Trumpists. Blunt's risking the GOP senate hold where it should have never been a problem.
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Ljube
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2016, 12:23:57 pm »


Why would conservatives be happy that Blunt is underperforming by 13 and could risk the GOP the senate? Remember, there are still very many 'normal/traditional' Republicans and conservatives that aren't red-blooded Trumpists. Blunt's risking the GOP senate hold where it should have never been a problem.


I don't know. I am not a conservative.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2016, 12:24:54 pm »

Word. Running 13 points behind Trump is truly inexplicable. Lean D. If he loses, good riddance honestly.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2016, 12:24:59 pm »


Why would conservatives be happy that Blunt is underperforming by 13 and could risk the GOP the senate? Remember, there are still very many 'normal/traditional' Republicans and conservatives that aren't red-blooded Trumpists. Blunt's risking the GOP senate hold where it should have never been a problem.
OK. I thought they had something particular in mind that he had done (like endorse Trump?).
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2016, 12:27:57 pm »

Patrick Murray ‏@PollsterPatrick  5m5 minutes ago
I've been asked why we're polling "safe" states. My response to a cable news producer - with some thoughts on tightening natl polls:

Img
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2016, 12:29:32 pm »

Well, that's stupid considering we have seen movement in Florida. And Ohio and Iowa are extremely close so you don't need to many minds to change.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2016, 12:38:30 pm »

So they are not polling swing states, because as he say "the state swing polling is looking the same, at least right now".

How does he know that, if they are not polling it? Eh? Undecided

And on October 28 (Comey's letter) he didn't sound that way

Quote
Patrick Murray ‏@PollsterPatrick  Oct 28
Great. All we have is Comey's letter; weekend TV will be pure speculation.

Just started bunch of state polls; may or may not catch effect
https://twitter.com/PollsterPatrick/status/792054595220545536

So it is his opinion on swing-states that does not based on data.
« Last Edit: November 01, 2016, 12:41:46 pm by Happy Sad Trumpista »Logged
Ljube
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2016, 12:40:27 pm »

So they are not polling swing states, because as he say "the state swing polling is looking the same, at least right now".

How does he know that, if they are not polling it? Eh? Undecided

He is a known Clinton hack.
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bilaps
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2016, 12:42:39 pm »

So they are not polling swing states, because as he say "the state swing polling is looking the same, at least right now".

How does he know that, if they are not polling it? Eh? Undecided

one of the most ignorant responses. he haven't seen movement because there were not too many respected polls since then. it isn't surprising to see polling errors when these kind of polling geniuses are running the show
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2016, 12:44:13 pm »

So they are not polling swing states, because as he say "the state swing polling is looking the same, at least right now".

How does he know that, if they are not polling it? Eh? Undecided

He is a known Clinton hack.


I know. I follow him on twitter. But this one was way off...

Right now, all the Dems are trying to say: It is OK. If it is, why bother?

Img


So they are not polling swing states, because as he say "the state swing polling is looking the same, at least right now".

How does he know that, if they are not polling it? Eh? Undecided

one of the most ignorant responses. he haven't seen movement because there were not too many respected polls since then. it isn't surprising to see polling errors when these kind of polling geniuses are running the show

Nate-Silver-primary sindrom...
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bilaps
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2016, 12:45:41 pm »

wait for PPP to drop out some unchanged midwestern polling and media to cover it 24/7
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2016, 04:10:13 pm »

It's difficult to envision Trump significantly outperform Romney's margins here (+10%).

I can see some shift among White Blue-Collar voters towards Trump, that is mostly offset by suburban women in Saint Louis and KC.

Thinking MO is more like +10-12 T at this point.

I wish they had regional breakdowns here, since that would give us more data on what is going on in NE-02 if we could see what's happening in the Saint Louis suburbs, and if we had numbers on Northern MO it might indicate what is happening in Southern Iowa. Sad
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Kempros
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2016, 04:33:26 pm »

People are going their partisan ways...
« Last Edit: November 01, 2016, 05:43:16 pm by Kempros »Logged
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2016, 05:54:37 pm »

SENATE: Blunt 47, Kander 46

There's no way Trump is going to do 5 points better than Romney, which means this poll is great news for Kander...

Emails and lots of non-college educated whites (IIRC). This seems about right.
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