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Author Topic: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread  (Read 2901 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 01, 2016, 12:47:04 pm »

Oct. 25-31 results:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArTE5ST1ZtUE1kdjg/view

Quote
Updated November 1, 2016 9am PST

As we approach November 8th, SurveyMonkey will be releasing rolling 7-day polling averages on the presidential race in all 50 states (plus the District of Columbia). We will be releasing our rolling state-level polls daily at 9am Pacific, so bookmark this page for updates.

https://www.surveymonkey.com/elections/map
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 12:47:56 pm »

Noooooooooo.
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Devout Centrist
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E: -5.45, S: -10.00

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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 12:48:30 pm »

The Junkening has begun!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 12:49:39 pm »

Contrary to the map, the Google file contains Johnson/Stein/McMullin data !
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DavidB.
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E: -1.74, S: 5.13

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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 12:52:31 pm »

Haha, those South Carolina numbers. #BattlegroundSC
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2016, 12:52:38 pm »

This'll make good lining for my birdcage, at least.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2016, 12:53:27 pm »

I mean it's not a terrible map...

Michigan is Safe D, though.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2016, 12:54:07 pm »

Should these be added to the database?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2016, 12:54:46 pm »

Should these be added to the database?

No, nor should they be on 538 (yet are)
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For England, James?

No. For me.
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2016, 12:55:29 pm »

The press release also says they have rolling Senate and Gov. results, but I cannot find the results pages for this ...
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DavidB.
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2016, 12:55:30 pm »

Michigan is Safe D, though.
Same for Wisconsin.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2016, 12:56:13 pm »

Should these be added to the database?

If you want to add 400 polls to the database over the next week, sure ... Tongue
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Vern
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2016, 12:56:56 pm »

Overall they aren't too bad of numbers
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DavidB.
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2016, 12:58:04 pm »

Should these be added to the database?
If you want to add 400 polls to the database over the next week, sure ... Tongue
Are these all polls though? Doesn't "rolling average" mean that today's polls are weighted in in tomorrow's model?
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the506
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2016, 12:59:17 pm »

Most of these numbers almost seem reasonable.
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Snek!
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2016, 12:59:23 pm »

It's a win.
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afleitch
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2016, 01:00:22 pm »

The demographic drill downs are fun Smiley
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Snek!
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2016, 01:10:05 pm »

The demographic drill downs are fun Smiley

I'm lazy. What's going on down there?
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WI is Safe D
Beef
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2016, 01:12:29 pm »

LOL @ all those double-digit Johnson numbers.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2016, 01:19:38 pm »

LOL @ all those double-digit Johnson numbers.

Just add them to Trump's numbers Tongue
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“People have forgotten this truth," the fox said. "But you mustn’t forget it. You become responsible forever for what you’ve tamed. You’re responsible for your rose.”
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2016, 01:44:00 pm »

The demographic drill downs are fun Smiley

I'm lazy. What's going on down there?

men and whites beďng garbage, as usual
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2016, 02:23:37 pm »

The third party numbers are interesting but probably exaggerated.

Top 3 Johnson states are:

1. New Mexico 17%
2. South Dakota 16%
3. Alaska 13%

Top 3 Stein states are:

1. Vermont 8%
2. Hawaii & Rhode Island tied at 7%

McMullin is in third place in Utah at 26% and in fourth place in Idaho at 7%. He's at 0% everywhere else but I'm not sure if he was actually included in any of the other polls.

Stein is only ahead on Johnson in DC but they are tied in a few states (Hawaii, New York, Rhode Island and West Virginia).
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2016, 03:42:55 pm »

Oct. 26 - Nov. 1 results:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArOWEtc1BTbzhOT2s/view

Nevada: 43-42 Trump
Florida: 47-44 Clinton
Iowa: 45-39 Trump
Colorado: 43-40 Clinton
Arizona: 43-42 Trump
North Carolina: 49-42 Clinton
Ohio: 45-42 Trump
Pennsylvania: 48-42 Clinton
Wisconsin: 44-42 Clinton
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2016, 03:46:08 pm »

Friewall plus Florida and NC holding.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2016, 06:02:41 pm »

Oct. 26 - Nov. 1 results:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArOWEtc1BTbzhOT2s/view

Nevada: 43-42 Trump
Florida: 47-44 Clinton
Iowa: 45-39 Trump
Colorado: 43-40 Clinton
Arizona: 43-42 Trump
North Carolina: 49-42 Clinton
Ohio: 45-42 Trump
Pennsylvania: 48-42 Clinton
Wisconsin: 44-42 Clinton

other interesting results:
georgia 45-44 trump
mississippi 47-41 trump
new hampshire 49-35 clinton
south carolina 45-44 trump
utah 34-30-26 t/c/m
virginia 49-39 clinton
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