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Author Topic: SurveyMonkey 50 state tracker (7-day rolling average) thread  (Read 2971 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #25 on: November 02, 2016, 06:30:04 pm »

Yuuuuuge!
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2016, 02:18:59 pm »

Oct. 27 - Nov. 2 results:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArNzhDcllNSURkTmM/view

Nevada: 44-43 Trump (no change)
Florida: 47-44 Clinton (no change)
Iowa: 47-37 Trump (R+4)
Colorado: 44-40 Clinton (D+1)
Arizona: 43-43 TIE (D+1)
North Carolina: 49-41 Clinton (D+1)
Ohio: 46-41 Trump (R+2)
Pennsylvania: 47-42 Clinton (R+1)
Wisconsin: 44-42 Clinton (no change)
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elcorazon
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« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2016, 02:27:05 pm »

Oct. 27 - Nov. 2 results:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArNzhDcllNSURkTmM/view

Nevada: 44-43 Trump (no change)
Florida: 47-44 Clinton (no change)
Iowa: 47-37 Trump (R+4)
Colorado: 44-40 Clinton (D+1)
Arizona: 43-43 TIE (D+1)
North Carolina: 49-41 Clinton (D+1)
Ohio: 46-41 Trump (R+2)
Pennsylvania: 47-42 Clinton (R+1)
Wisconsin: 44-42 Clinton (no change)
good numbers if true
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2016, 05:26:39 pm »

made a map of the gender gap in the last batch of results

Img
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2016, 05:33:12 pm »

Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate?
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #30 on: November 03, 2016, 06:00:16 pm »

Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate?

nah. down 8 with women, down 56 with men
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #31 on: November 03, 2016, 06:50:54 pm »

Tracker polls are generally low quality, but 50 state tracker polls are worthless.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #32 on: November 03, 2016, 08:17:41 pm »

Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate?

nah. down 8 with women, down 56 with men
!!! Does she even hit 20 with men? Wow...
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IceSpear
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« Reply #33 on: November 04, 2016, 12:22:05 am »

Is Clinton winning WV women at this rate?

nah. down 8 with women, down 56 with men
!!! Does she even hit 20 with men? Wow...

Racist WV Hicks are racist. News at 11.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #34 on: November 06, 2016, 03:43:31 am »

SurveyMonkey's latest 50-state results aren't actually that crazy, given the other polls we've seen in recent days:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArMDZYamh1eDNKVEE/view

C/T/J/S/M = Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin

SurveyMonkey Election Tracking                     
conducted October 28 - November 3, 2016                     
Among likely voters                     
state          C      T         J      S      M    None   Unweighted n
Alabama   36%   52%   6%   2%   0%   3%   722
Alaska   35%   46%   11%   5%   0%   3%   334

Arizona   44%   43%   8%   3%   0%   2%   1748
Arkansas   34%   55%   6%   3%   0%   2%   696
California   56%   29%   7%   5%   0%   3%   2528
Colorado   44%   40%   10%   3%   0%   2%   1927
Connecticut   52%   38%   6%   3%   0%   2%   925
D.C.   85%   5%   3%   5%   0%   1%   324
Delaware   50%   36%   8%   2%   0%   3%   405
Florida   47%   45%   4%   2%   0%   2%   3356

Georgia   44%   46%   6%   0%   0%   4%   2872
Hawaii   52%   29%   8%   7%   0%   4%   435
Idaho   30%   49%   6%   3%   10%   1%   498
Illinois   52%   37%   6%   3%   0%   2%   1120
Indiana   35%   52%   9%   0%   0%   3%   923
Iowa   37%   47%   10%   3%   0%   4%   1469
Kansas   36%   49%   10%   4%   0%   2%   1162
Kentucky   35%   55%   6%   3%   0%   2%   843
Louisiana   37%   52%   5%   2%   0%   3%   646

Maine   48%   39%   6%   4%   0%   2%   590
Maryland   62%   27%   6%   4%   0%   1%   851
Massachusetts   56%   29%   8%   3%   0%   4%   1004
Michigan   44%   43%   9%   3%   0%   2%   2362
Minnesota   47%   37%   9%   3%   0%   4%   1055

Mississippi   40%   49%   5%   3%   0%   3%   673
Missouri   39%   49%   8%   3%   0%   2%   879
Montana   34%   53%   9%   2%   0%   2%   403
Nebraska   35%   51%   8%   2%   0%   4%   707
Nevada   43%   44%   9%   0%   0%   4%   1016

New Hampshire   47%   37%   11%   3%   0%   3%   672
New Jersey   55%   37%   3%   3%   0%   2%   943
New Mexico   41%   36%   17%   4%   0%   3%   794
New York   57%   32%   5%   4%   0%   2%   1949
North Carolina   48%   42%   7%   0%   0%   3%   2292

North Dakota   29%   56%   11%   2%   0%   1%   276
Ohio   41%   46%   8%   2%   0%   2%   2004
Oklahoma   32%   56%   10%   0%   0%   2%   905

Oregon   51%   36%   7%   4%   0%   3%   1150
Pennsylvania   46%   43%   6%   2%   0%   2%   2454
Rhode Island   49%   38%   6%   4%   0%   3%   392

South Carolina   43%   47%   5%   2%   0%   3%   1583
South Dakota   31%   52%   15%   0%   0%   3%   393
Tennessee   41%   49%   5%   3%   0%   2%   1063
Texas   42%   47%   6%   2%   0%   3%   2322
Utah   30%   33%   7%   2%   26%   2%   1327

Vermont   57%   24%   10%   7%   0%   2%   449
Virginia   48%   40%   7%   2%   0%   2%   2073
Washington   53%   34%   7%   5%   0%   2%   944

West Virginia   27%   57%   7%   3%   0%   6%   386
Wisconsin   45%   43%   7%   3%   0%   3%   1568
Wyoming   21%   61%   9%   5%   0%   4%   200
« Last Edit: November 06, 2016, 03:51:23 am by Ozymandias »Logged
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #35 on: November 06, 2016, 05:53:32 am »

SC to the left of Ohio? Whee...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #36 on: November 06, 2016, 07:49:25 am »

lol, third party support is obviously too high in these but it would be amazing to see Trump come in third or fourth place in DC.
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Snek!
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« Reply #37 on: November 06, 2016, 07:53:51 am »

http://www.270towin.com/maps/D3x1k

This map would be awesome both for the sore winnerness and the lolz.
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