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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7
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Author Topic: NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7  (Read 21802 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #25 on: November 01, 2016, 03:12:48 pm »

This is happening...


Img
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Arch
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« Reply #26 on: November 01, 2016, 03:13:08 pm »

here's to hoping that the last week was the Brexit's Jo Cox moment.
Difference is that the emails are tied to Clinton, while Jo Cox's murder was a tragic event committed by someone with a history of mental illness that was tied opportunistically to the leave camp with no links or connections whatsoever

The e-mails are NOT tied to Clinton. They are her aide's and her husband's. That's whole BS of it all.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #27 on: November 01, 2016, 03:13:30 pm »

And the bad news keeps rolling....

Also SUSA isn't in general a bad pollster, this does seem a bit off and makes me wonder if their LV screens are filtering out Dem voters on the "enthusiasm gap".

I still have NC as a tossup (Trump) on the prediction thread, still see this as closer to a 2 point race either way.

I'm assuming their Senate numbers will post tomorrow?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #28 on: November 01, 2016, 03:13:44 pm »

Even GOP internals still have Trump losing here...
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Ronnie
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« Reply #29 on: November 01, 2016, 03:13:48 pm »

I'm beginning to squirm.
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bilaps
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« Reply #30 on: November 01, 2016, 03:14:02 pm »

well, this isn't true obviously bbbbut TRUMP TRAIN COMING prepare yourself
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dspNY
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« Reply #31 on: November 01, 2016, 03:14:14 pm »

Until we get other polling to confirm this is an outlier and should be treated as such
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #32 on: November 01, 2016, 03:14:30 pm »

Obamacare premium hikes affecting the middle class voters weigh more on their moods and pockets than Trumps groping it seems.

This and the email story (if it is not going away in the news in the next days) could be the kiss of death for her ...
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SirMuxALot
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« Reply #33 on: November 01, 2016, 03:14:48 pm »

538 had them as an "A" rated and added +2 to Trump (C+2 to Tie) on their last poll.  So this is going to go into the 538 model as T+9???
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #34 on: November 01, 2016, 03:15:34 pm »

Even GOP internals still have Trump losing here...
No. Only "a former anonynomous FBI agent and Top GOP pollster"... Roll Eyes
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Castro
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« Reply #35 on: November 01, 2016, 03:15:38 pm »

Ah, here's probably a major source of the disagreement:

Quote
SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.

Did they not poll Unaffiliateds or something?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #36 on: November 01, 2016, 03:16:04 pm »

Obamacare premium hikes affecting the middle class voters weigh more on their moods and pockets than Trumps groping it seems.

This and the email story (if it is not going away in the news in the next days) could be the kiss of death for her ...

I know you got a boner from the thought, but no.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #37 on: November 01, 2016, 03:16:31 pm »

Obvious outlier, still bad news though.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #38 on: November 01, 2016, 03:16:40 pm »

let's find out how cheap the votes of white, educated NC republican women are.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #39 on: November 01, 2016, 03:16:47 pm »

Obamacare premium hikes affecting the middle class voters weigh more on their moods and pockets than Trumps groping it seems.

This and the email story (if it is not going away in the news in the next days) could be the kiss of death for her ...
I am not sure which of us is enjoing it more though Angry


Ah, here's probably a major source of the disagreement:

Quote
SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.

Did they not poll Unaffiliateds or something?
They always has strange crosstabs though...
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Jimmie
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« Reply #40 on: November 01, 2016, 03:17:33 pm »

here's to hoping that the last week was the Brexit's Jo Cox moment.

here's a question though - why would the race change NINE POINTS in one week?

Oh yes of course!

To the average voter, the most important issue facing our country are EMAILS!!!!!

Hopefully that will not be the case in one week.
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SirMuxALot
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« Reply #41 on: November 01, 2016, 03:18:08 pm »

The e-mails are NOT tied to Clinton. They are her aide's and her husband's. That's whole BS of it all.

If that's true, then why did the FBI need to get a new warrant to look at them?  They already had a warrant for Wiener/Huma emails.

Of course there are emails between Huma and Hillary among the 650,000.  Naturally those could be relevant to the previous investigation.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #42 on: November 01, 2016, 03:18:14 pm »

Ah, here's probably a major source of the disagreement:

Quote
SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.

Did they not poll Unaffiliateds or something?


Hmmm.... that's interesting and throws a giant monkeywrench into the discussion and mix.
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OneJ
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« Reply #43 on: November 01, 2016, 03:18:20 pm »

What really makes this poll bad is that Tender believes it.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #44 on: November 01, 2016, 03:18:40 pm »

Clinton led 46-44 in their last poll three weeks ago.

Also mods, I definitely posted this first.

Sry, I was still posting and didn't see it and some others already posted too.

If they are merged your thread will be first then.

Yeah I don't really care but duplicate threads are just a pet peeve.

I pmd likely voter to merge them.

I'd do it myself but some a$$holes decided to demod me ...
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I'm with Mayor Pete
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« Reply #45 on: November 01, 2016, 03:23:04 pm »

Someone just shoot me.
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bilaps
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« Reply #46 on: November 01, 2016, 03:27:24 pm »

here's to hoping that the last week was the Brexit's Jo Cox moment.
Difference is that the emails are tied to Clinton, while Jo Cox's murder was a tragic event committed by someone with a history of mental illness that was tied opportunistically to the leave camp with no links or connections whatsoever

The e-mails are NOT tied to Clinton. They are her aide's and her husband's. That's whole BS of it all.

LOL

There are many stupid things being said these days by pro H crowd but this one should be top of the list!

Embrace! Choo choo train coming!
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Donnie
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« Reply #47 on: November 01, 2016, 03:31:47 pm »

WOW.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #48 on: November 01, 2016, 03:32:25 pm »

Dems, take comfort from this:

http://abc11.com/archive/6380065/
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #49 on: November 01, 2016, 03:33:52 pm »

Classic Atlas overreaction to an outlier.  It reads like a book.  The Bedwetter feakout, the republicans rejoice, while tender does his I'm non partisan concern trolling. 
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