Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 13, 2019, 04:07:15 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7 (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7  (Read 23073 times)
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,460
« on: November 01, 2016, 03:08:34 pm »

Plausible, given the bad Black turnout so far.
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,460
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 03:52:29 pm »

http://www.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2016/11/01/16183925/261876-WRAL_News_poll_Nov._1_2016_.pdf

Early voters (40%)
Clinton 52
Trump 46

Not voted yet (60%)
Clinton 38
Trump 54

Black (21%)
Clinton 84
Trump 14

White (72%)
Clinton 33
Trump 62

Republicans (33%)
Clinton 5
Trump 90

Democrats (44%)
Clinton 75
Trump 23

Unaffiliated (20%)
Clinton 39
Trump 51
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,460
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 04:29:16 pm »

Trashing 1 poll methodology vs trashing all polls and building a model that used endorsements to predict the primary winner are not the same thing.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC