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| | | | |-+  NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-SurveyUSA: Trump +7  (Read 21490 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: November 01, 2016, 03:08:34 pm »

Plausible, given the bad Black turnout so far.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 03:52:29 pm »

http://www.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2016/11/01/16183925/261876-WRAL_News_poll_Nov._1_2016_.pdf

Early voters (40%)
Clinton 52
Trump 46

Not voted yet (60%)
Clinton 38
Trump 54

Black (21%)
Clinton 84
Trump 14

White (72%)
Clinton 33
Trump 62

Republicans (33%)
Clinton 5
Trump 90

Democrats (44%)
Clinton 75
Trump 23

Unaffiliated (20%)
Clinton 39
Trump 51
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 04:29:16 pm »

Trashing 1 poll methodology vs trashing all polls and building a model that used endorsements to predict the primary winner are not the same thing.
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