Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 18, 2017, 06:24:44 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!  (Read 3253 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14596
United States


View Profile
« on: November 01, 2016, 05:39:47 pm »
Ignore

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view

Indiana: 50% Young (R), 46% Bayh (D)
Florida: 49% Rubio (R), 47% Murphy (D)
Arizona: 49% McCain (R), 46% Kirkpatrick (D)
Ohio: 55% Portman (R), 40% Strickland (D)
Iowa: 56% Grassley (R), 41% Judge (D)


Missouri: 51% Kander (D), 45% Blunt (R)
Illinois: 57% Duckworth (D), 38% Kirk (R)
New Hampshire: 50% Hassan (D), 38% Ayotte (R)
North Carolina: 47% Ross (D), 43% Burr (R)
Pennsylvania: 49% McGinty (D), 46% Toomey (R)
Colorado: 48% Bennet (D), 46% Glenn (R)


Wisconsin: 49% Johnson (R), 49% Feingold (D)
Nevada: 47% Heck (R), 47% Masto (D)
« Last Edit: November 02, 2016, 03:06:57 pm by TN Volunteer »Logged

2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
Jimmie
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4744


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 05:41:11 pm »
Ignore

Oh no! Kander is only 6 points ahead of blunt! Lets all freak out!

Oh No! Bayh is 4 points being Young in a mass poll! Let's panaic!

Yay! Murphy is only two points behind Rubio! We can win this seat.

lol joking a bit.

But seriously, these numbers do not look too far off.
Logged

QE
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 65
United States


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 05:42:20 pm »
Ignore

Colorado... Wat.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6862
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 05:44:19 pm »
Ignore

Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
Logged

MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14596
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 05:48:43 pm »
Ignore

Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.

NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.
Logged

2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10041
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2016, 05:50:16 pm »
Ignore

Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.

NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.

True, there's no way Hassan is only leading by just 12.
Logged
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1674
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2016, 06:27:34 pm »
Ignore

idontbelieveyou.gif
Logged
xīngkěruž
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11255
Taiwan


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2016, 06:34:37 pm »
Ignore

Okaaaaay.

Not sure why NC is the least believable one here. I'd say NH, MO, CO, IL, and WI are far less believable.
Logged

Kevin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5321
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2016, 06:35:32 pm »
Ignore

Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.

NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.

I think New Hampshire is most certainly correct since's it's quickly becoming the next Vermont on all levels.
Logged

MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14596
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2016, 06:39:23 pm »
Ignore

Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.

NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.

I think New Hampshire is most certainly correct since's it's quickly becoming the next Vermont on all levels.

I know that (and the race is certainly Safe D), but even Ayotte isn't going to lose by more than 6 points.
Logged

2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7858
Netherlands


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2016, 09:08:00 pm »
Ignore

Junk poll!
- IN (Young could be up but not by that much), AZ (not so close), CO (not so close), NH (this race is almost tied, not +12 WTF) and WI (Feingold and Johnson are not tied) are definitely off.
- OH, IA, IL, PA and NV are about right.
- MO (Kander up by that much?), NC (Ross up by that much?) and FL (so close?)... could be true, but color me skeptical.
« Last Edit: November 01, 2016, 09:13:02 pm by Comrade David »Logged
DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7858
Netherlands


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2016, 09:40:20 pm »
Ignore

538 adjusted them all by R+1, which means Johnson actually leads in the WI poll. LMAO.
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6547
United States


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2016, 10:06:16 pm »
Ignore

Good numbers for the Democrats on average.
Logged
Green Line
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3964
United States


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2016, 10:06:54 pm »
Ignore

About half junk polls and half correct polls.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14596
United States


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 03:11:36 pm »
Ignore

Today's numbers (Oct 26-Nov 1):

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view

Indiana: 51% Young (R), 46% Bayh (D) (R+1)
Florida: 49% Rubio (R), 47% Murphy (D) (no change)
Arizona: 50% McCain (R), 44% Kirkpatrick (D) (R+3)
Ohio: 57% Portman (R), 39% Strickland (D) (R+3)
Iowa: 56% Grassley (R), 41% Judge (D) (no change)
Wisconsin: 50% Johnson (R), 48% Feingold (D) (R+2)


Missouri: 50% Kander (D), 46% Blunt (R) (R+2)
Illinois: 55% Duckworth (D), 39% Kirk (R) (R+3)
New Hampshire: 50% Hassan (D), 38% Ayotte (R) (no change)
North Carolina: 47% Ross (D), 43% Burr (R) (no change)
Pennsylvania: 50% McGinty (D), 46% Toomey (R) (D+1)
Colorado: 49% Bennet (D), 47% Glenn (R) (no change)


Nevada: 47% Heck (R), 47% Masto (D) (no change)

Also, their Louisiana numbers: 23% Kennedy (R), 21% Fayard (D), 13% Boustany (R), 13% Campbell (D), 12% Fleming (R), 4% Maness (R), 2% Duke (R)
« Last Edit: November 02, 2016, 03:13:26 pm by TN Volunteer »Logged

2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3708
View Profile
« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 03:49:58 pm »
Ignore

I hope a Feingold loss is not a deciding factor. He is a strong candidate & did well throughout the race. But looks like all those M of $ of Negative ads with little to no support from Dems narrowed this race.

Dems have themselves to blame for a Feingold loss!
Logged



Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3144
United States


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 03:51:02 pm »
Ignore

Louisiana looks junk. No way Fayard finishes ahead of Campbell.
Logged

Endorsements:
AL-SEN: Roy Moore
FL-SEN: Rick Scott
IN-SEN: Luke Messer
MI-SEN: Fred Upton
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley
MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale
OH-SEN: Josh Mandel
PA-SEN: Lou Barletta
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins
FL-GOV: Adam Putnam
OH-GOV: Jon Husted
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen
NH-01: Carol Shea Porter
NH-02: Annie Kuster
NH Special Elections: All the Democrats!!!!
Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15214
United States


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 03:52:58 pm »
Ignore

Louisiana looks junk. No way Fayard finishes ahead of Campbell.

Campbell is not a friend of the oil industry. That matters in LA.
Logged

ALL ALABAMA VOTERS ARE DUTY AND HONOR BOUND TO VOTE FOR DOUG JONES FOR SENATE ON DECEMBER 12TH.
---


---
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

'17/'18 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (10/9: AZ: Lean R --> Strong Lean R)
'17/'18 Senate Ratings (somewhat under construction): http://tinyurl.com/yb7sxe9a
'18 House Rating: Strong Lean R
Solitude Without a Window
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46193
United States


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 04:14:33 pm »
Ignore

A tracker for Senate races? Shocked

God help us all.
Logged

Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3144
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 05:11:39 pm »
Ignore

Louisiana looks junk. No way Fayard finishes ahead of Campbell.

Campbell is not a friend of the oil industry. That matters in LA.
Just found this. Did not know that about Campbell. From what I know, and from what Miles tells me, I though Campbell would be the much stronger Democrat, as Fayard's base seems to be only White, New Orleans-area Democrats, whereas Campbell seems to have nearly all the Black vote locked down, plus many of the White Democrats. The results of next week's jungle primary will be very interesting, to say the least.
Logged

Endorsements:
AL-SEN: Roy Moore
FL-SEN: Rick Scott
IN-SEN: Luke Messer
MI-SEN: Fred Upton
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley
MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale
OH-SEN: Josh Mandel
PA-SEN: Lou Barletta
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins
FL-GOV: Adam Putnam
OH-GOV: Jon Husted
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen
NH-01: Carol Shea Porter
NH-02: Annie Kuster
NH Special Elections: All the Democrats!!!!
Silent Cal
youngconservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2364
United States


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 06:53:13 pm »
Ignore

Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
Based on the other polls that came out today, Wisconsin looks about right. Also, a CBS/Yougov found the same colorado result a few days ago. #TIGHTENING
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14596
United States


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2016, 02:00:24 pm »
Ignore

Today's numbers (Oct 27-Nov 2):

Indiana: 51% Young (R), 44% Bayh (D) (R+2)
Florida: 49% Rubio (R), 48% Murphy (D) (D+1)
Arizona: 50% McCain (R), 44% Kirkpatrick (D) (no change)
Ohio: 57% Portman (R), 40% Strickland (D) (D+1)
Iowa: 57% Grassley (R), 40% Judge (D) (R+2)


Missouri: 51% Kander (D), 45% Blunt (R) (D+2)
Illinois: 55% Duckworth (D), 40% Kirk (R) (R+1)
New Hampshire: 50% Hassan (D), 37% Ayotte (R) (D+1)
North Carolina: 47% Ross (D), 44% Burr (R) (R+1)
Pennsylvania: 50% McGinty (D), 46% Toomey (R) (no change)
Colorado: 50% Bennet (D), 46% Glenn (R) (D+2)
Nevada: 48% Cortez-Masto (D), 47% Heck (R) (D+1)


Wisconsin: 48% Johnson (R), 48% Feingold (D) (D+2)

Louisiana numbers: 21% Kennedy (R), 21% Fayard (D), 13% Boustany (R), 13% Campbell (D), 12% Fleming (R), 5% Maness (R), 3% Duke (R)

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view
Logged

2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40677
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2016, 02:06:05 pm »
Ignore

Can't wait for Survey Monkey to become the new NH gold standard next Tuesday!
Logged

fuck nazis
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7510
United States


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2016, 02:09:53 pm »
Ignore

I know this is a junk poll, but we missed a golden opportunity to take out Little Marco.
Logged

DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7858
Netherlands


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2016, 02:10:20 pm »
Ignore

This is going nowhere. Junk polls!
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines