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SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
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Topic: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker! (Read 4349 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
Posts: 17,420
SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
on:
November 01, 2016, 05:39:47 pm »
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view
Indiana: 50% Young (R), 46% Bayh (D)
Florida: 49% Rubio (R), 47% Murphy (D)
Arizona: 49% McCain (R), 46% Kirkpatrick (D)
Ohio: 55% Portman (R), 40% Strickland (D)
Iowa: 56% Grassley (R), 41% Judge (D)
Missouri: 51% Kander (D), 45% Blunt (R)
Illinois: 57% Duckworth (D), 38% Kirk (R)
New Hampshire: 50% Hassan (D), 38% Ayotte (R)
North Carolina: 47% Ross (D), 43% Burr (R)
Pennsylvania: 49% McGinty (D), 46% Toomey (R)
Colorado: 48% Bennet (D), 46% Glenn (R)
Wisconsin: 49% Johnson (R), 49% Feingold (D)
Nevada: 47% Heck (R), 47% Masto (D)
«
Last Edit: November 02, 2016, 03:06:57 pm by TN Volunteer
»
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Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Jimmie
jamespol
YaBB God
Posts: 5,316
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #1 on:
November 01, 2016, 05:41:11 pm »
Oh no! Kander is only 6 points ahead of blunt! Lets all freak out!
Oh No! Bayh is 4 points being Young in a mass poll! Let's panaic!
Yay! Murphy is only two points behind Rubio! We can win this seat.
lol joking a bit.
But seriously, these numbers do not look too far off.
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QE
Jr. Member
Posts: 65
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #2 on:
November 01, 2016, 05:42:20 pm »
Colorado... Wat.
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morgieb
YaBB God
Posts: 7,311
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #3 on:
November 01, 2016, 05:44:19 pm »
Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
Posts: 17,420
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #4 on:
November 01, 2016, 05:48:43 pm »
Quote from: morgieb on November 01, 2016, 05:44:19 pm
Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.
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populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc
Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
Posts: 10,775
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #5 on:
November 01, 2016, 05:50:16 pm »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 01, 2016, 05:48:43 pm
Quote from: morgieb on November 01, 2016, 05:44:19 pm
Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.
True, there's no way Hassan is only leading by just 12.
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yeah_93
YaBB God
Posts: 2,792
Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #6 on:
November 01, 2016, 06:27:34 pm »
idontbelieveyou.gif
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Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
Posts: 15,219
Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #7 on:
November 01, 2016, 06:34:37 pm »
Okaaaaay.
Not sure why NC is the least believable one here. I'd say NH, MO, CO, IL, and WI are far less believable.
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Kevin
YaBB God
Posts: 5,379
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #8 on:
November 01, 2016, 06:35:32 pm »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 01, 2016, 05:48:43 pm
Quote from: morgieb on November 01, 2016, 05:44:19 pm
Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.
I think New Hampshire is most certainly correct since's it's quickly becoming the next Vermont on all levels.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
Posts: 17,420
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #9 on:
November 01, 2016, 06:39:23 pm »
Quote from: Kevin on November 01, 2016, 06:35:32 pm
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 01, 2016, 05:48:43 pm
Quote from: morgieb on November 01, 2016, 05:44:19 pm
Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
NH is probably the junkiest one, though. NC is also not believable.
I think New Hampshire is most certainly correct since's it's quickly becoming the next Vermont on all levels.
I know that (and the race is certainly Safe D), but even Ayotte isn't going to lose by more than 6 points.
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populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc
Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
DavidB.
YaBB God
Posts: 11,170
Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 5.13
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #10 on:
November 01, 2016, 09:08:00 pm »
Junk poll!
- IN (Young could be up but not by that much), AZ (not so close), CO (not so close), NH (this race is almost tied, not +12 WTF) and WI (Feingold and Johnson are not tied) are definitely off.
- OH, IA, IL, PA and NV are about right.
- MO (Kander up by that much?), NC (Ross up by that much?) and FL (so close?)... could be true, but color me skeptical.
«
Last Edit: November 01, 2016, 09:13:02 pm by Comrade David
»
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Tomorrow the sun will rise and the moon will set
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DavidB.
YaBB God
Posts: 11,170
Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 5.13
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #11 on:
November 01, 2016, 09:40:20 pm »
538 adjusted them all by R+1, which means Johnson actually leads in the WI poll. LMAO.
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Tomorrow the sun will rise and the moon will set
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Ebsy
YaBB God
Posts: 7,710
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #12 on:
November 01, 2016, 10:06:16 pm »
Good numbers for the Democrats on average.
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Green Line
YaBB God
Posts: 5,014
Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 0.70
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #13 on:
November 01, 2016, 10:06:54 pm »
About half junk polls and half correct polls.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
Posts: 17,420
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #14 on:
November 02, 2016, 03:11:36 pm »
Today's numbers (Oct 26-Nov 1):
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view
Indiana: 51% Young (R), 46% Bayh (D) (R+1)
Florida: 49% Rubio (R), 47% Murphy (D) (no change)
Arizona: 50% McCain (R), 44% Kirkpatrick (D) (R+3)
Ohio: 57% Portman (R), 39% Strickland (D) (R+3)
Iowa: 56% Grassley (R), 41% Judge (D) (no change)
Wisconsin: 50% Johnson (R), 48% Feingold (D) (R+2)
Missouri: 50% Kander (D), 46% Blunt (R) (R+2)
Illinois: 55% Duckworth (D), 39% Kirk (R) (R+3)
New Hampshire: 50% Hassan (D), 38% Ayotte (R) (no change)
North Carolina: 47% Ross (D), 43% Burr (R) (no change)
Pennsylvania: 50% McGinty (D), 46% Toomey (R) (D+1)
Colorado: 49% Bennet (D), 47% Glenn (R) (no change)
Nevada: 47% Heck (R), 47% Masto (D) (no change)
Also, their Louisiana numbers: 23% Kennedy (R), 21% Fayard (D), 13% Boustany (R), 13% Campbell (D), 12% Fleming (R), 4% Maness (R), 2% Duke (R)
«
Last Edit: November 02, 2016, 03:13:26 pm by TN Volunteer
»
Logged
populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc
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Shadows
YaBB God
Posts: 4,366
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #15 on:
November 02, 2016, 03:49:58 pm »
I hope a Feingold loss is not a deciding factor. He is a strong candidate & did well throughout the race. But looks like all those M of $ of Negative ads with little to no support from Dems narrowed this race.
Dems have themselves to blame for a Feingold loss!
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Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
Posts: 3,264
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #16 on:
November 02, 2016, 03:51:02 pm »
Louisiana looks junk. No way Fayard finishes ahead of Campbell.
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Wulfric
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Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #17 on:
November 02, 2016, 03:52:58 pm »
Quote from: Heisenberg on November 02, 2016, 03:51:02 pm
Louisiana looks junk. No way Fayard finishes ahead of Campbell.
Campbell is not a friend of the oil industry. That matters in LA.
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Antonio V
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Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #18 on:
November 02, 2016, 04:14:33 pm »
A tracker for
Senate
races?
God help us all.
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Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
Posts: 3,264
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #19 on:
November 02, 2016, 05:11:39 pm »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 02, 2016, 03:52:58 pm
Quote from: Heisenberg on November 02, 2016, 03:51:02 pm
Louisiana looks junk. No way Fayard finishes ahead of Campbell.
Campbell is not a friend of the oil industry. That matters in LA.
Just found
this
. Did not know that about Campbell. From what I know, and from what Miles tells me, I though Campbell would be the much stronger Democrat, as Fayard's base seems to be only White, New Orleans-area Democrats, whereas Campbell seems to have nearly all the Black vote locked down, plus many of the White Democrats. The results of next week's jungle primary will be very interesting, to say the least.
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Endorsements:
AZ-SEN: Martha McSally
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IN-SEN: Mike Braun
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OH-SEN: Jim Renacci
PA-SEN: Lou Barletta
TN-SEN: Marsha Blackburn
TX-SEN: Ted Cruz
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Young Conservative
youngconservative
YaBB God
Posts: 3,428
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls
«
Reply #20 on:
November 02, 2016, 06:53:13 pm »
Quote from: morgieb on November 01, 2016, 05:44:19 pm
Some of those numbers seem pretty whack. Colorado and Wisconsin mainly.
Based on the other polls that came out today, Wisconsin looks about right. Also, a CBS/Yougov found the same colorado result a few days ago. #TIGHTENING
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Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
Posts: 17,420
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #21 on:
November 03, 2016, 02:00:24 pm »
Today's numbers (Oct 27-Nov 2):
Indiana: 51% Young (R), 44% Bayh (D) (R+2)
Florida: 49% Rubio (R), 48% Murphy (D) (D+1)
Arizona: 50% McCain (R), 44% Kirkpatrick (D) (no change)
Ohio: 57% Portman (R), 40% Strickland (D) (D+1)
Iowa: 57% Grassley (R), 40% Judge (D) (R+2)
Missouri: 51% Kander (D), 45% Blunt (R) (D+2)
Illinois: 55% Duckworth (D), 40% Kirk (R) (R+1)
New Hampshire: 50% Hassan (D), 37% Ayotte (R) (D+1)
North Carolina: 47% Ross (D), 44% Burr (R) (R+1)
Pennsylvania: 50% McGinty (D), 46% Toomey (R) (no change)
Colorado: 50% Bennet (D), 46% Glenn (R) (D+2)
Nevada: 48% Cortez-Masto (D), 47% Heck (R) (D+1)
Wisconsin: 48% Johnson (R), 48% Feingold (D) (D+2)
Louisiana numbers: 21% Kennedy (R), 21% Fayard (D), 13% Boustany (R), 13% Campbell (D), 12% Fleming (R), 5% Maness (R), 3% Duke (R)
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view
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Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 40,644
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #22 on:
November 03, 2016, 02:06:05 pm »
Can't wait for Survey Monkey to become the new NH gold standard next Tuesday!
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f
uck nazis
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
YaBB God
Posts: 8,088
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #23 on:
November 03, 2016, 02:09:53 pm »
I know this is a junk poll, but we missed a golden opportunity to take out Little Marco.
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DavidB.
YaBB God
Posts: 11,170
Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 5.13
Re: SurveyMonkey Senate polls - Daily tracker!
«
Reply #24 on:
November 03, 2016, 02:10:20 pm »
This is going nowhere. Junk polls!
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