FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8

[Fusionmunster]

While it would be awesome if true, gonna need some more pollsters to back this up.

[Fusionmunster]

I do think alot of pollsters are having trouble with likely voter screens this year, and many latinos in Florida who vote early are less likely to be included in said voter screens.

[Fusionmunster]

Haha, where are Dems who critisied A pollster SUSA's results in NC? You are pathetic

AGAIN: 538 is not gospel for measuring a pollsters worth.

[Fusionmunster]

Haha, where are Dems who critisied A pollster SUSA's results in NC? You are pathetic

AGAIN: 538 is not gospel for measuring a pollsters worth.

But your feelings are.

We'll find out in a week.

[Fusionmunster]

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump




This election is over!!!!!1111

Your welcome to leave.

[Fusionmunster]

JUNK WITH A CAPITAL J

Maybe. We will find out in a week, wont we?

[Fusionmunster]

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump




This election is over!!!!!1111

Look at the poll's methodology and find the flaw. I've been pointing out important methodological factors towards the credibility of this poll. Rather than hurling personal insults en masse, go and find something to discuss.

This pollster uses voter registration files so in theory, should be accurate.
But Siena/NYT, which also uses voter registration files came up with +4 Trump so who knows....

Siena/NYT did not account for new registrations.

That's a great point actually.

Nate Cohn is already challenging him lol

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
"Clinton's not winning 28% of registered Republican early voters in Florida. Just saying."

Granted, Nates challenging the results with his own results.

[Fusionmunster]

Remind me again why this is more believable than the NC poll showing Trump up 7?

If I could say one positive thing about this poll...maybe because it's got better crosstabs...?

Idk, I still smell garbage everywhere.

Honestly, I'm about to give up on the polls and just wait and see what happens on election day. I still think Clinton is favored to win FL, NV and the freiwal states and Trump is slightly favored to win in NC, IA and OH.

Marquette will probably show a close race in WI tomorrow and make this even more confusing.

Is it bad I think most pollster have no idea what they're doing this year? In fact, if they screw up this cycle then pollsters would have by and large gotten 3 cycles in a row wrong.

[Fusionmunster]

Scott Tranter, who is on "Team Rubio Analytics", just threw out this curveball of a tweet that has even experts in his comment section putting up question marks:

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Wuh...