FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Haha, where are Dems who critisied A pollster SUSA's results in NC? You are pathetic

[Erich Maria Remarque]

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump




This election is over!!!!!1111

[Erich Maria Remarque]

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump




This election is over!!!!!1111

Look at the poll's methodology and find the flaw. I've been pointing out important methodological factors towards the credibility of this poll. Rather than hurling personal insults en masse, go and find something to discuss.

I am not expert. I believe in average and history. You sems to be a proffs in everything though. Wasn't you the one scremaing about Russia-server that turned out to be a complete BS?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

This and the Trump +7 poll in NC. I'm just going to roll with it, today has been a bad polling day.

Eh, this poll has very sound methodology - they are able to go back to a voter registration list and call people. That gives you a really good sample and then you can model that sample to demographics, such as gender, race, partisan divide, etc...

Did you hear about Sienna/Upshot? A-pollster, you know?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump




This election is over!!!!!1111

Look at the poll's methodology and find the flaw. I've been pointing out important methodological factors towards the credibility of this poll. Rather than hurling personal insults en masse, go and find something to discuss.

This pollster uses voter registration files so in theory, should be accurate.
But Siena/NYT, which also uses voter registration files came up with +4 Trump so who knows....

Would it be smart to be more calm with D firm as this one? Just saying

[Erich Maria Remarque]

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump




This election is over!!!!!1111

Look at the poll's methodology and find the flaw. I've been pointing out important methodological factors towards the credibility of this poll. Rather than hurling personal insults en masse, go and find something to discuss.

This pollster uses voter registration files so in theory, should be accurate.
But Siena/NYT, which also uses voter registration files came up with +4 Trump so who knows....

Siena/NYT did not account for new registrations.

Yeah. It caused this swing

[Erich Maria Remarque]

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[Erich Maria Remarque]

For the love of god, can the mods please re-ban LittleBigPlanet already? This cretin has made about 120 posts today alone. His spamming is out of control at this point.

I'm capable to both retain quality and quantity on huuuuge level. Believe me.


Is this like their first poll ever? Public, at least?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Hope this leads to a multi-page freakout too!

The winner!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Wait. You said that crosstabs are much more believable than SUSA:s, but there are no crosstabs split [how they voted]. Just demographics...

The only split they have ie EV vs non-EV. So how do you know that crosstabs make thinks? Or is there some other file than this one?

https://www.scribd.com/document/329698329/TargetSmart-William-Mary-Florida-Poll-of-Early-and-Likely-Voters

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Full cross tabs are being released tomorrow.

Ok... So it seems like noone but me who actually looked at poll pdf. Everyone's just been screaming -- crosstabs... Lol

What we have is EV 55/38 to Clinton vs non-EV 43/42 to Trump.

And

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Is it really much more believable than SUSA:s ?

Oooook...


And the last one crosstabs Nate Cohn answered almost directly...

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All right...

And I am the one who is spamming, rrright?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

How many has actually alredy voted in Florida. According to this poll is about 50%. Is it true?

            EV  non-EV
Clinton  (55  +  42)/2 = 48.5 = 48
Trump   (38  +  43)/2 = 40.5 = 40

And it is exactly what this polls shows 48 vs 40. WTF?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

How many has actually alredy voted in Florida?

311 of 718 (43.3%) respondents in the TargetSmart poll are known to have voted early.

For comparison, as of this morning, 4,077,521 voters in FL have voted early, which is 48.1% of the TOTAL (early + election-day) vote in 2012 (8,474,134).

Wow, didn't know that EV was so popular in USA...

[Erich Maria Remarque]

How many has actually alredy voted in Florida?

311 of 718 (43.3%) respondents in the TargetSmart poll are known to have voted early.

For comparison, as of this morning, 4,077,521 voters in FL have voted early, which is 48.1% of the TOTAL (early + election-day) vote in 2012 (8,474,134).

Wow, didn't know that EV was so popular in USA...

It's really a surging phenomenon. From 2000 to now, it's absolutely exploded. It was 16% in 2000, it could flirt with 50% this year.

I thought USA was behind Sweden
 In Sweden it is only 20-25%

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Should it has (D) in the title, because it is a Democratic political data firm

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Should it has (D) in the title, because it is a Democratic political data firm

Source for the claim?

I thought, Dems here said it in poll-hype thread?

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/how-many-registered-voters-are-in-america-2016-229993

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http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-voting-irregularities-snap-story.html

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http://www.cbsnews.com/news/analysis-by-voter-group-finds-dead-people-likely-registered-in-indiana/

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http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37634526

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