absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Pandaguineapig]

It's important to realize that Ralston got half of the competitive elections in 2014 wrong before we start worshipping him

[Pandaguineapig]

If Clinton loses the election because of NC and MI I could see the democrats pushing for an Australian-style mandatory voting law

[Pandaguineapig]

All the bed wetting about North Carolina is going to look inane tomorrow.

Given how NC democrats are reliant on AA votes to even be competitive there needs to be a large ED turnout among AA's or she will lose the state and likely take Ross and Cooper

[Pandaguineapig]

If Clinton loses the election because of NC and MI I could see the democrats pushing for an Australian-style mandatory voting law

I don't think so. These laws are completely ineffective, nobody is going to jail or fine people because they didn't vote. Automatic registration along with soft voter ID, like the West Virginia law, is the way to go.

I just remember some democrats entertaining the idea after 2014, I think making election day a holiday and allowing same day registration would be more effective

[Pandaguineapig]

All the bed wetting about North Carolina is going to look inane tomorrow.

Given how NC democrats are reliant on AA votes to even be competitive there needs to be a large ED turnout among AA's or she will lose the state and likely take Ross and Cooper

Or she could, as polls have shown, just do better among white voters there.

Those same polls assume AA's make up the same amount of the vote as they did in 2012. This is why Kay Hagan isn't a senator anymore

[Pandaguineapig]

It's becoming clear why Clinton never invested in Georgia

[Pandaguineapig]

Wisconsin vote as % of 2012:


Ohio vote as % of 2012:

Wisconsin is solid for Clinton, but ohio looks great for trump

[Pandaguineapig]

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  3m3 minutes ago
Well, Clinton might have pulled off Ohio. #Earlyvote change from 2012
Cuyahoga +1,052 (+0.4%)
Franklin +22,522 (+10.2%)

How does it compare in % terms?

Also he fails to mention them as comparison to the state as a whole or using party registration returns. This guy is predicting a Clinton win in Iowa, a state they have already given up on