absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[OneJ]

All the reports I'm seeing indicate a decline in the share of black vote among those voting early.

The actual numbers of black voters seem to be up, though clearly not up as much as hispanic (or white) voters.

Entirely possible this is just non-black voters discovering early voting is a thing, rather than any sort of real indication of enthusiasm among black voters.

I told people not to worry so much! 😉

[OneJ]

^^^ I haven't looked at the precise numbers yet, but based off of CNN's percentages/early vote totals for GA in 2012/2016, you'd come away with these approximate numbers of black early voters in each election:

2012: 405,000
2016: 465,000

So even though it's a smaller percentage, it'd be an overall larger number of black voters using early voting. It seems that it is just that many (likely older) white people are now using early voting instead. Again, could be totally wrong about the broader implication, but we'll see.

Great!

[OneJ]

Great news from FL! Hundreds of historically black college or university (HBCU) students took to the polls in Durham and Daytona Beach on Wednesday to kick off early voting on their respective campus.

Link: https://hbcubuzz.com/2016/11/hundreds-hbcu-students-march-polls-early-voting/

Big League turnout from my people! And with Murphy too!

[OneJ]

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https://twitter.com/SteveCollinsSJ/status/795348672460505088

The GOP belief in democracy in a nut shell. They despise the voting process.

How disgusting. Voter suppression is real folks and look at who's doing it.

[OneJ]

daniel a. smith ‏@electionsmith  38m38 minutes ago
Total black turnout in Florida in 2016 will be higher than 2012.  Mark it.
At 777k as of yesterday. Souls to polls today. VBM & ED to come

daniel a. smith ‏@electionsmith  35m35 minutes ago
As a point of reference, in 2012 in Florida, the share of turnout was:
B14%/H12.5%/W68.4%/A1.5%

daniel a. smith ‏@electionsmith  2m2 minutes ago
In Florida in 2012, 44% of whites waited to vote until ED; 50.5% of Hispanics; 35.2% of blacks.

One of the many reasons why I'm proud of my race!

[OneJ]

Is there any possibility that turnout among registered latinos could reach 70% this year? I know it was only 48% last time, but their early vote numbers have more than doubled in many places. I guess 60% is perhaps more likely, but I don't think even 70% would be out of reach at this point.

Texas would probably flip with that kind of turnout.

That's pretty crazy when you think about it.

[OneJ]

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http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/89ae8247abe8493fae24405546e9a1aa/Article_2016-11-07-US--Campaign%202016-The%20Latest/id-07e2ce33e85c47b1acafaed57f26b96c

Amazing!

[OneJ]

Jeff Gauvin on Twitter :
LATINO SURGE:

■FLORIDA: +103%
■N.CAROLINA: +85%
■GEORGIA: +147%