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Author Topic: Emerson: Clinton +3 Colorado // Trump +9 Georgia, +4 Arizona, +15 Missouri  (Read 1421 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: November 02, 2016, 09:06:13 am »
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_6ee2070379ba4a88bff29b1fa5aae9e0.pdf

Georgia
Trump 51
Clinton 42

Missouri
Trump 52
Clinton 37

Arizona
Trump 47
Clinton 43

Colorado
Trump 41
Clinton 44
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Arch
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 09:07:12 am »
HRC still ahead in CO even with a landline only poll. Great news!
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 09:07:30 am »
All this really means is that HRC has Colorado in the bag.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 09:07:48 am »
What kind of nonpartisan firm releases 10,000 polls in one cycle and doesn't bother to FIX. THEIR. METHODOLOGY.

Emerson could have been every political nerd's hero this cycle...
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 09:11:07 am »
Quote from: BundouYMB on November 02, 2016, 09:07:48 am
What kind of nonpartisan firm releases 10,000 polls in one cycle and doesn't bother to FIX. THEIR. METHODOLOGY.

Emerson could have been every political nerd's hero this cycle...
Would've been too difficult.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 09:12:03 am »
I think it is too friendly towards Clinton, cause Email are still in the news. But good numbers anyway.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 09:13:05 am »
Not calling cell phones in Colorado and Clinton leads.  BEAUTIFUL!!! 

DAS FREIWALLL1111!!!!!!
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 09:15:00 am »
AZ is fool's gold for Democrats. I'm kind of shocked to see Trump doing that well in Georgia, though.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 09:16:57 am »
 
Hillary +3% in Colorado?
with demicals Hillary +2.3% in Colorado Wink

Hillary 43.5% | TRUMP 41.2% | Johnson 7.8% | Stein 4.2% | Not sure 3.2%

Samples(Coloado)
Race: White 77% | Hispanic 15% | Black 3%
Party ID: DEM 34% | REP 31% | IND 35%
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 09:21:28 am »
I checked out the Georgia crosstabs on theecps.com.

White (58%)
Trump 63
Clinton 34

Black (28%)
Trump 25
Clinton 69

Really good White #s for her if true, but I think a few White trolls just claimed to be Black...
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 09:26:22 am »
Quote from: StatesPoll on November 02, 2016, 09:16:57 am

Hillary +3% in Colorado?
with demicals Hillary +2.3% in Colorado Wink

Hillary 43.5% | TRUMP 41.2% | Johnson 7.8% | Stein 4.2% | Not sure 3.2%

Samples(Coloado)
Race: White 77% | Hispanic 15% | Black 3%
Party ID: DEM 34% | REP 31% | IND 35%


Yeah. And in Exit polls Dems are up like 5 when they really only turn out at -4. At that point, they do pretty well. They are turning out at +3 ATM.

I would say that HRC gets between 5 and 8 points here.
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Castro
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 09:30:28 am »
Quote from: HillOfANight on November 02, 2016, 09:21:28 am
I checked out the Georgia crosstabs on theecps.com.

White (58%)
Trump 63
Clinton 34

Black (28%)
Trump 25
Clinton 69

Really good White #s for her if true, but I think a few White trolls just claimed to be Black...

Lolwut
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 09:34:35 am »
Quote from: HillOfANight on November 02, 2016, 09:21:28 am
I checked out the Georgia crosstabs on theecps.com.

White (58%)
Trump 63
Clinton 34

Black (28%)
Trump 25
Clinton 69

Really good White #s for her if true, but I think a few White trolls just claimed to be Black...

Too many blacks for Trump and too many whites for Clinton. Of course to an extent they balance each other out in the topline numbers (which might be a bit too favourable for Trump anyway).
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 09:40:02 am »
New Poll: Arizona President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 43%, R: 47%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 09:40:56 am »
New Poll: Colorado President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 44%, R: 41%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 09:41:23 am »
New Poll: Georgia President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 42%, R: 51%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 09:42:05 am »
New Poll: Missouri President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 37%, R: 52%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Kempros
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 09:57:40 am »
The race has definitely tightened.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 09:58:35 am »
Add 3 pts each for being an Emerson landline and it looks perfect.
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Arch
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 09:59:23 am »
Quote from: Kempros on November 02, 2016, 09:57:40 am
The race has definitely tightened.

Although there has been some tightening, remember this is Emerson.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 10:00:51 am »
Quote from: Speed of Sound on November 02, 2016, 09:58:35 am
Add 3 pts each for being an Emerson landline and it looks perfect.


538 almost agrees.
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Kempros
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2016, 01:29:05 am »
The Emmy numbers also look on par of the RCP averages.
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2016, 01:30:51 am »
Quote from: Kempros on November 02, 2016, 09:57:40 am
The race has definitely tightened.

You're a little late there. Even the Baghdad Bobs have acknowledged that by now.
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