Emerson: Clinton +3 Colorado // Trump +9 Georgia, +4 Arizona, +15 Missouri

[HillOfANight]

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_6ee2070379ba4a88bff29b1fa5aae9e0.pdf

Georgia
Trump 51
Clinton 42

Missouri
Trump 52
Clinton 37

Arizona
Trump 47
Clinton 43

Colorado
Trump 41
Clinton 44

[Dr. Arch]

HRC still ahead in CO even with a landline only poll. Great news!

[Person Man]

All this really means is that HRC has Colorado in the bag.

[BundouYMB]

What kind of nonpartisan firm releases 10,000 polls in one cycle and doesn't bother to FIX. THEIR. METHODOLOGY.

Emerson could have been every political nerd's hero this cycle...

[Devout Centrist]

What kind of nonpartisan firm releases 10,000 polls in one cycle and doesn't bother to FIX. THEIR. METHODOLOGY.

Emerson could have been every political nerd's hero this cycle...

Would've been too difficult.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

I think it is too friendly towards Clinton, cause Email are still in the news. But good numbers anyway.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Not calling cell phones in Colorado and Clinton leads.  BEAUTIFUL!!! 

DAS FREIWALLL1111!!!!!!

[StatesPoll]

 
Hillary +3% in Colorado?
with demicals Hillary +2.3% in Colorado

Hillary 43.5% | TRUMP 41.2% | Johnson 7.8% | Stein 4.2% | Not sure 3.2%

Samples(Coloado)
Race: White 77% | Hispanic 15% | Black 3%
Party ID: DEM 34% | REP 31% | IND 35%

[HillOfANight]

I checked out the Georgia crosstabs on theecps.com.

White (58%)
Trump 63
Clinton 34

Black (28%)
Trump 25
Clinton 69

Really good White #s for her if true, but I think a few White trolls just claimed to be Black...

[Person Man]

Hillary +3% in Colorado?
with demicals Hillary +2.3% in Colorado

Hillary 43.5% | TRUMP 41.2% | Johnson 7.8% | Stein 4.2% | Not sure 3.2%

Samples(Coloado)
Race: White 77% | Hispanic 15% | Black 3%
Party ID: DEM 34% | REP 31% | IND 35%

Yeah. And in Exit polls Dems are up like 5 when they really only turn out at -4. At that point, they do pretty well. They are turning out at +3 ATM.

I would say that HRC gets between 5 and 8 points here.

[The Other Castro]

I checked out the Georgia crosstabs on theecps.com.

White (58%)
Trump 63
Clinton 34

Black (28%)
Trump 25
Clinton 69

Really good White #s for her if true, but I think a few White trolls just claimed to be Black...

Lolwut

[Phony Moderate]

I checked out the Georgia crosstabs on theecps.com.

White (58%)
Trump 63
Clinton 34

Black (28%)
Trump 25
Clinton 69

Really good White #s for her if true, but I think a few White trolls just claimed to be Black...

Too many blacks for Trump and too many whites for Clinton. Of course to an extent they balance each other out in the topline numbers (which might be a bit too favourable for Trump anyway).

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Arizona President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 43%, R: 47%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Colorado President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 44%, R: 41%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Georgia President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 42%, R: 51%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Missouri President by Emerson College on 2016-10-31

Summary: D: 37%, R: 52%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Kempros]

The race has definitely tightened.

[Speed of Sound]

Add 3 pts each for being an Emerson landline and it looks perfect.

[Dr. Arch]

The race has definitely tightened.

Although there has been some tightening, remember this is Emerson.

[Person Man]

Add 3 pts each for being an Emerson landline and it looks perfect.

538 almost agrees.

[Kempros]

The Emmy numbers also look on par of the RCP averages.

[IceSpear]

The race has definitely tightened.

You're a little late there. Even the Baghdad Bobs have acknowledged that by now.