Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
January 21, 2020, 07:04:55 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA  (Read 5357 times)
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« on: November 02, 2016, 11:06:47 am »

CNN/ORC polls: AZ: Trump 49 Clinton 44 NV: Trump 49 Clinton 43 FL: Clinton 49 Trump 47 PA Clinton 48 Trump 44

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/02/politics/polls-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-florida-pennsylvania-nevada-arizona/index.html
Logged
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 11:08:06 am »

NV looks off given the other numbers.
Logged
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 11:25:45 am »


Yes, but I believe 538 make adjustments not just on its derived House effects of the pollster but also on how far off the poll result is from peer poll results. I know this methodology will lead to herding but that seems to be how 538 is doing it.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC