Monmouth - PA: Clinton +4
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Author Topic: Monmouth - PA: Clinton +4  (Read 3564 times)
Speed of Sound
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« on: November 02, 2016, 12:01:00 PM »

Among 403 LVs, Oct 29-Nov 1st:

Clinton 48 (-2)
Trump 44 (+4)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_110216/
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 12:01:40 PM »

Good numbers for McGinty in this poll - basically mirroring Presidential race.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 12:01:49 PM »

Benjy Sarlin ‏@BenjySarlin  2m2 minutes ago
NEW Monmouth poll of PA:

Clinton 48 (-2)
Trump 44 (+4)

Senate:

McGinty 47
Toomey 44

Poll taken Oct 29-Nov 1, so roughly at Peak Comey.
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swf541
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 12:02:01 PM »

With them being a slight r favorable lately, not bad. Clintons probably leading around 6 here
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 12:02:17 PM »

Not bad, she should be able to hold PA
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dspNY
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 12:02:53 PM »

OK poll. Don't like the fact the lead dropped from 10 to 4 with no early voting but she's definitely still fine in PA
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 12:03:21 PM »

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Ozymandias
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 12:03:34 PM »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  30s30 seconds ago
Almost identical to what we've seen recently in PA. Tighter than it was, sure. Hillary still ahead by a decent amount, yes.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 12:04:04 PM »

Important to note:

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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 12:04:04 PM »

Benjy Sarlin ‏@BenjySarlin  2m2 minutes ago
NEW Monmouth poll of PA:

Clinton 48 (-2)
Trump 44 (+4)

Poll taken Oct 29-Nov 1, so roughly at Peak Comey.

Niiiiiice!

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Wow! 4%! It is a really big.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 12:04:43 PM »

until yesterday....peak comey included.

wow@toomey.
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TC 25
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 12:05:00 PM »

PA remains a tough nut to crack for the GOP.  Close but not quite there.  Remains a long shot
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 12:05:02 PM »

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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 12:05:20 PM »

Clinton should win PA by an Obama '12ish margin.  Rendell bless the Philly suburbs.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 12:05:42 PM »

Yeah, stick a fork in Toomey.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 12:06:12 PM »


Then that previous poll was junk. Western PA should be one of the best Trump regions outside of South
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 12:06:23 PM »

Good to see Trump is still polling below 45%.
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 12:06:38 PM »

Firewall still standing, but it looks scarier
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swf541
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 12:06:46 PM »

So, a dem senate and president trump is plausible, that'd be interesting......
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 12:07:10 PM »


Then that previous poll was junk. Western PA should be one of the best Trump regions outside of South

I agree, I think that's one of the bigger take aways form this. If you consider that, they're still showing a Trump uptick, but not much of one.
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Xing
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 12:09:02 PM »

Clinton should be fine here, and thus should win the election.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2016, 12:11:08 PM »


Then that previous poll was junk. Western PA should be one of the best Trump regions outside of South

Dude, the MoE is probably like +/-10% on crosstabs. No need to worry about that nonsense.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2016, 12:15:22 PM »

I see Monmouth has decided to sacrifice their A pollster rating.
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Figueira
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2016, 12:17:04 PM »


I hate the fork analogy, but yeah, McGinty should win as long as Clinton wins the state.

Weirdly, the Senate races are roughly where I thought they would be in early 2015, minus maybe Colorado and North Carolina.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2016, 12:42:49 PM »

Is PA supposed to be 7 pts more white than 2012?
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