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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  WI-MU Law: Clinton +6
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Author Topic: WI-MU Law: Clinton +6  (Read 8914 times)
BoAtlantis
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« Reply #25 on: November 02, 2016, 12:30:34 pm »

Among early voters, 64% for Clinton, 25% for Trump. In Senate race, 58% for Feingold, 29% for Johnson.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #26 on: November 02, 2016, 12:31:25 pm »

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New poll was conducted before and after Fri announcement of new FBI look at Clinton e-mails. Some shifts occurred.
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Combining results for all six days of polling, 50% say they are bothered a lot by Clinton e-mails issue
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23% say they are bothered a little by Clinton e-mails, 26% not bothered at all. (These results are for all registered voters.) #mulawpoll
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Before FBI news broke, 50% of likely voters bothered a lot by the issue. Friday, 60% bothered a lot. Sat-Mon, 48% bothered a lot. #mulawpoll
...
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #27 on: November 02, 2016, 12:32:11 pm »

Thank god.

The cheeseheads always come through, man.  With PA, CO, WI, VA, and NH safe we can breathe easy.  
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #28 on: November 02, 2016, 12:33:14 pm »

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On Weds and Thurs, 47% favored Clinton, 36% Trump. On Fri, Trump 48%, Clinton 40%. Sat-Mon, Clinton 46%, Trump 40%. #mulawpoll
They are trolling...



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Little change in view among Democrats before and after FBI news. Support by Republicans of Trump increased. #mulawpoll
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Arch
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« Reply #29 on: November 02, 2016, 12:33:40 pm »

Early Voters 65% Clinton/25% Trump, which means she has picked up a LOT of I and Rs.
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cp
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« Reply #30 on: November 02, 2016, 12:33:52 pm »

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/793868306373603328

"Before FBI news broke, 50% of likely voters bothered a lot by the issue. Friday, 60% bothered a lot. Sat-Mon, 48% bothered a lot."
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #31 on: November 02, 2016, 12:34:02 pm »

Friday numbers have 10% margin of error.
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Arch
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« Reply #32 on: November 02, 2016, 12:34:35 pm »

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On Weds and Thurs, 47% favored Clinton, 36% Trump. On Fri, Trump 48%, Clinton 40%. Sat-Mon, Clinton 46%, Trump 40%. #mulawpoll
They are trolling...

MoE is huge in the day-by-day. Clinton is Safe here.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #33 on: November 02, 2016, 12:35:15 pm »

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Among Repubs, Trump supported by 73% on Weds and Thurs, 87% on Friday, 86% Sat through Mon. #mulawpoll
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Arch
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« Reply #34 on: November 02, 2016, 12:35:55 pm »
« Edited: November 02, 2016, 12:38:30 pm by Arch »

Also, "Before FBI news broke, 50% of likely voters bothered a lot by the issue. Friday, 60% bothered a lot. Sat-Mon, 48% bothered a lot." People are tired of it and you can tell it's actually bothering people less as time goes on. Lots of desensitization, especially as partisan-action details became clearer.

#SickOfDamnEmails
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #35 on: November 02, 2016, 12:36:19 pm »

MoE is huge in the day-by-day. Clinton is Safe here.

I know. That could go directly to the results. Not doing it = trolling... That's what I meant.





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Among independents, Clinton ahead by 7 on Weds and Thurs, Trump up 10 on Fri, Trump up 8 Sat through Mon. #mulawpoll
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Yank2133
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« Reply #36 on: November 02, 2016, 12:36:54 pm »

This pretty much describes Democrats right now.

https://twitter.com/strid340/status/793866903244668929
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I'm with Mayor Pete
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« Reply #37 on: November 02, 2016, 12:39:37 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #38 on: November 02, 2016, 12:41:08 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.

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Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538  4m4 minutes ago
Nate Silver Retweeted MULawPoll
Small samples here but it's **plausible** that the FBI story was quite damaging to Clinton at first, then damage lessened as story evolved.

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MULawPoll @MULawPoll
On Weds and Thurs, 47% favored Clinton, 36% Trump. On Fri, Trump 48%, Clinton 40%. Sat-Mon, Clinton 46%, Trump 40%. #mulawpoll
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Maxwell
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« Reply #39 on: November 02, 2016, 12:41:39 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.

Yeah, if anything, the more likely culprit is Obamacare news giving Republicans and Republican leaning indies an excuse to vote for Trump.
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Arch
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« Reply #40 on: November 02, 2016, 12:42:11 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.

She's rebounding nicely from it.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #41 on: November 02, 2016, 12:43:25 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.

Yeah, if anything, the more likely culprit is Obamacare news giving Republicans and Republican leaning indies an excuse to vote for Trump.

There might be some truth to this. The email thing isn't new and most people made up their minds about HRC guilt/innocence back in July.  Obamacare does give normal GOP hacks an excuse to vote for the orange man.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #42 on: November 02, 2016, 12:44:52 pm »

The freiwal holds!  Fantastic news.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #43 on: November 02, 2016, 12:45:46 pm »

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Does “honest” describe Clinton? 28% yes, 68% no. Does “honest” describe Trump? 36% yes, 61% no. #mulawpoll

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62% would be very or somewhat uncomfortable with Trump as president (51% say very uncomfortable). #mulawpoll
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #44 on: November 02, 2016, 12:46:38 pm »

Just another confirmation that Comey-gate has minimal effect. Most of the tightening is due to Republicans coming home.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #45 on: November 02, 2016, 12:47:39 pm »


Also, "Before FBI news broke, 50% of likely voters bothered a lot by the issue. Friday, 60% bothered a lot. Sat-Mon, 48% bothered a lot." People are tired of it and you can tell it's actually bothering people less as time goes on. Lots of desensitization, especially as partisan-action details became clearer.

#SickOfDamnEmails

Good news...I'm quite sure the same applies in all other states as well.
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I'm with Mayor Pete
Beef
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« Reply #46 on: November 02, 2016, 12:47:55 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.

Yeah, if anything, the more likely culprit is Obamacare news giving Republicans and Republican leaning indies an excuse to vote for Trump.

I agree.  If Comeygate were really an issue, we'd see Hillary's numbers dropping, but in national polling, Clinton continues to hover around 48-49% - plenty to win the PV, possibly a majority considering how many people voted early.

Hillary supporters at this point are pro-ACA, or at least fear what a GOP-controlled Washington could do to their insurance.  They aren't going to be swayed by fear-mongering over a rate increase that doesn't affect a lot of them.
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Neolibs Are The New McCarthyists
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #47 on: November 02, 2016, 12:47:56 pm »

That very uncomfortable number is lethal. Looks like the WI door is closed on Trump.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #48 on: November 02, 2016, 12:48:12 pm »

Paul Ryan right now after announcing he's a good little soldier;

Img
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #49 on: November 02, 2016, 01:01:09 pm »

Paul Ryan right now after announcing he's a good little soldier;

Img


heh
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