Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 22, 2019, 07:33:18 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  WI-MU Law: Clinton +6 (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: WI-MU Law: Clinton +6  (Read 9967 times)
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« on: November 02, 2016, 12:22:55 pm »
« edited: November 02, 2016, 12:39:41 pm by Arch »

Clinton: 46%
Trump: 40%
Johnson: 4%
Stein: 3%

MoE: 3.3%
1401 RV (Landline+Cell)
1255 were LV (MoE 3.5%)

Twitter Post: https://twitter.com/MULawPoll?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

Large chunk of the sample post-Comey. MoE on the day-by-day sample is significantly larger.

Also, "Before FBI news broke, 50% of likely voters bothered a lot by the issue. Friday, 60% bothered a lot. Sat-Mon, 48% bothered a lot." People are tired of it and you can tell it's actually bothering people less as time goes on. Lots of desensitization, especially as partisan-action details became clearer.

#SickOfDamnEmails
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 12:26:04 pm »

A nice dose of reality after a week of madness.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 12:33:40 pm »

Early Voters 65% Clinton/25% Trump, which means she has picked up a LOT of I and Rs.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 12:34:35 pm »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
They are trolling...

MoE is huge in the day-by-day. Clinton is Safe here.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 12:35:55 pm »
« Edited: November 02, 2016, 12:38:30 pm by Arch »

Also, "Before FBI news broke, 50% of likely voters bothered a lot by the issue. Friday, 60% bothered a lot. Sat-Mon, 48% bothered a lot." People are tired of it and you can tell it's actually bothering people less as time goes on. Lots of desensitization, especially as partisan-action details became clearer.

#SickOfDamnEmails
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 12:42:11 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.

She's rebounding nicely from it.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 01:04:57 pm »

I'd be more relieved if this was entirely post-Comey, but this looks all right.

Post-Comey actually looks slightly better.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 01:25:58 pm »

I'd be more relieved if this was entirely post-Comey, but this looks all right.

Post-Comey actually looks slightly better.
Did they release it yet?

Release what? You posted the day by day numbers yourself, and Arch below posted the "opinion on emails scandal" numbers. Not sure you're gonna get day-to-day crosstabs. Day-to-day is the crosstabs.

Thank you.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 01:28:38 pm »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

If I understand it right.

It was C+11 pre-Comey
And C+6 post-Comey Huh

How come overall is also C+6? Or do they talk about last poll?

It's funny how you act as if you can read polls like an expert when there is one for Trump, but when you want to know more about a poll that's favorable to HRC, we need to walk you through it.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 01:37:50 pm »

my guess? Trump might lose a little ground in Waukesha and other counties in that sector, but make up for it by running up margins near Brown County (Green Bay) and rural Wisconsin (Romney only won Brown by 2, I expect Trump to win it by at least 5 or 6).

Actually, Green Bay has one of the highest Hispanic populations in the state. I think Trump will narrowly lose it, while winning northern-central counties and weakening in the WoW area.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,622
United States


P
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 02:03:35 pm »

Why is Feingold underperforming Clinton? Is Ryan's "check" on Clinton schtick working!?!!!

Johnson will lose. He's never led in the average, and we want Feingold back. Johnson is a bad fit for the state. He can run again in Alabama for senate if he wants.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC