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  WI-MU Law: Clinton +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-MU Law: Clinton +6  (Read 9958 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
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« on: November 02, 2016, 12:24:47 pm »

Sad! Sad
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 12:27:05 pm »

Is there break for pre and post-Comey?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 12:30:00 pm »

Among early voters, 64% for Clinton, 25% for Trump.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 12:31:25 pm »

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...
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 12:33:14 pm »

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They are trolling...



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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 12:35:15 pm »

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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 12:36:19 pm »

MoE is huge in the day-by-day. Clinton is Safe here.

I know. That could go directly to the results. Not doing it = trolling... That's what I meant.





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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 12:41:08 pm »

Is there any solid evidence the Comey letter is having any impact at all?  Republicans and right-independents were breaking for Trump before the Comey news broke, and Friday didn't seem to change that trajectory.  Meanwhile Clinton is holding steady.

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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 12:45:46 pm »

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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 01:22:39 pm »

I'd be more relieved if this was entirely post-Comey, but this looks all right.

Post-Comey actually looks slightly better.
Did they release it yet?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 01:26:50 pm »

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If I understand it right.

It was C+11 pre-Comey
And C+6 post-Comey Huh

How come overall is also C+6? Or do they talk about last poll?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 01:29:34 pm »

I'd be more relieved if this was entirely post-Comey, but this looks all right.

Post-Comey actually looks slightly better.
Did they release it yet?

Release what? You posted the day by day numbers yourself, and Arch below posted the "opinion on emails scandal" numbers. Not sure you're gonna get day-to-day crosstabs. Day-to-day is the crosstabs.

Aha... this one
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Lol, I had a brain shortcut. I thought "favored" = fav/unfav rating... Embarrassed
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 01:34:39 pm »
« Edited: November 02, 2016, 01:53:04 pm by Happy Sad Trumpista »

well the margin of error on individual days is massive.
The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points for Wednesday and Thursday‘s sample (541 respondents), +/-9.8 percentage points for the Friday sample (157 respondents) and +/-5.4 percentage points for the combined Saturday, Sunday and Monday samples (557 respondents).

MOE is less than Monmouth (they usually have 400 LV).
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 01:54:08 pm »

Trump led by 8 on friday, the day of Comey
Yeah. Missread it as Clinton +8 Embarrassed
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