NH: WBUR (MASSINC) - Trump + 1

[BoAtlantis]

I predicted NH is the most vulnerable firewall because of their independent-thinking.

She'll probably squeak by here but it'll be close.

Clinton will win the state in a landslide on election day. There is no reason why she would do worse than Obama in NH.

Let's hope you're right.

[Speed of Sound]

That's a bit surprising, though I'm skeptical of that huge 3rd party number.. Thankfully, NV will make sure I don't need to worry about NH.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Lol, guys. Is it really that difficult?

A week ago Clinton was +7 nationally. It implies she was on average +7 in many swingstates including NH. When you're +7, most polls will show you from +4 to +10. But now she is about +2-4. It means that most polls will show her from T+1 to C+7.  

So?  The race has tightened CONSIDERABLY. Trump has a shot to be Mr. President. Muahahaa

JUNK POLL!  But I'm glad this no-nothing from Texas got a chance to jack off this morning.

know-nothing, dude.  it's know-nothing.

Jesus Alcon, its early.  Don't I get a typo mulligan before coffee?

It is not a typo.
http://www.dictionary.com/browse/typographical--error

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It's ignorance/education gap, dude, as I told you before

[win win]

beautiful poll!
NH has been moved to CO status (in serious contention)

[JerryArkansas]

Lol, guys. Is it really that difficult?

A week ago Clinton was +7 nationally. It implies she was on average +7 in many swingstates including NH. When you're +7, most polls will show you from +4 to +10. But now she is about +2-4. It means that most polls will show her from T+1 to C+7. 

So?  The race has tightened CONSIDERABLY. Trump has a shot to be Mr. President. Muahahaa

JUNK POLL!  But I'm glad this no-nothing from Texas got a chance to jack off this morning.

know-nothing, dude.  it's know-nothing.

Jesus Alcon, its early.  Don't I get a typo mulligan before coffee?

It is not a typo.
http://www.dictionary.com/browse/typographical--error

You must be logged in to read this quote.

It's ignorance/education gap, dude, as I told you before

God you are such a douch this morning.  Did someone wake up cranky.

[Rand]

I think LittleBigPlanet needs to play outside for a little bit. His posting history is almost non-stop and a little sunlight will help replenish his brain cells after spending nearly every minute of every day typing on the internet. He might even make some friends!

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: New Hampshire President by MassInc on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 39%, R: 40%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Zarn]

I'm thinking Clinton +1 or 2, so this is close to that (MOE). I also think undecideds break for Clinton here, but only if she stabilizes or gains momentum back.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Lol, guys. Is it really that difficult?

A week ago Clinton was +7 nationally. It implies she was on average +7 in many swingstates including NH. When you're +7, most polls will show you from +4 to +10. But now she is about +2-4. It means that most polls will show her from T+1 to C+7.  

So?  The race has tightened CONSIDERABLY. Trump has a shot to be Mr. President. Muahahaa

JUNK POLL!  But I'm glad this no-nothing from Texas got a chance to jack off this morning.

know-nothing, dude.  it's know-nothing.

Jesus Alcon, its early.  Don't I get a typo mulligan before coffee?

It is not a typo.
http://www.dictionary.com/browse/typographical--error

You must be logged in to read this quote.

It's ignorance/education gap, dude, as I told you before

I'm sorry.  Does "brain fart" work for you in this situation, Boofy? 

[Speed of Sound]

God you are such a douch this morning.  Did someone wake up cranky.

This morning? He's been a very low quality and purposely instigating poster all week. Given how much he posts, I wish the mods would slap him on the wrist again, but they won't. So instead, important threads are filled with childishness.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

God you are such a douch this morning.  Did someone wake up cranky.

This morning? He's been a very low quality and purposely instigating poster all week. Given how much he posts, I wish the mods would slap him on the wrist again, but they won't. So instead, important threads are filled with childishness.

Lol, no. The level of Presidential General Election Polls board among Red hacks is like this:

Good results for Hillary                 FF, Great poll
Bad   results for Hillary                 Junk, trash

Sometimes Almost often the same pollster turn into low-quality from high-quality and back several times during a month.

[JerryArkansas]

God you are such a douch this morning.  Did someone wake up cranky.

This morning? He's been a very low quality and purposely instigating poster all week. Given how much he posts, I wish the mods would slap him on the wrist again, but they won't. So instead, important threads are filled with childishness.

Lol, no. The level of Presidential General Election Polls board among Red hacks is like this:

Good results for Hillary                 FF, Great poll
Bad   results for Hillary                 Junk, trash

Sometimes Almost often the same pollster turn into low-quality from high-quality and back several times during a month.

Or when the poll deviates by a large margin from what the average is showing, we call it junk.  Can your hackishness not see that.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Going to wait for Suffolk before I try to draw any conclusions.

[Zarn]

God you are such a douch this morning.  Did someone wake up cranky.

This morning? He's been a very low quality and purposely instigating poster all week. Given how much he posts, I wish the mods would slap him on the wrist again, but they won't. So instead, important threads are filled with childishness.

Lol, no. The level of Presidential General Election Polls board among Red hacks is like this:

Good results for Hillary                 FF, Great poll
Bad   results for Hillary                 Junk, trash

Sometimes Almost often the same pollster turn into low-quality from high-quality and back several times during a month.

Or when the poll deviates by a large margin from what the average is showing, we call it junk.  Can your hackishness not see that.

2 of those polls are now outdated (3-4 points for Clinton on 10-25-16), and the other is just as far from the average, but seems to be pro-Clinton (+7).

It's possible it an outlier, but also possible it is pretty close.

[Kempros]

Isn't this a state that is considered apart of the "firewall"?

[Maxwell]

It's concerning considering the closer to election day the more accurate this poll is, but I really doubt Johnson is at 10% and that the winning candidate is still only at 40%.

[Speed of Sound]

Isn't this a state that is considered apart of the "firewall"?

Yeah, and most polls have shown it to be one. This is definitely an interesting result, but it alone doesn't mean the state has turned. As I mentioned earlier, too, we're very close to Nevada being in the bag, which would wipe out a surprise loss in NH. Frankly, I would call NV a "firewall" state at this point, though I know not everyone agrees on that.

[bilaps]

Why is this poll junk?  The pollster is considered good.

Because it doesn't show Clinton up 20 pts or something. Whey they don't like the result it's either outlier or junk. There is no third.

[Spark]

Trump will win here. I'm so glad.

[Sir Mohamed]

Trash poll. The Johnson number is way off by the way.

You can throw every poll showing the leading candidate well under 45% right into the garbage. Except UT of course.

[Kalimantan]

I think that what happened is during the height of comey gate a lot of Democrats refused to commit to her in polls but have come back quickly, hence some strange polls. Certainly the feel of the election now is that she is quite comfortable but not reflected in these numbers - which are still all over the place

[ApatheticAustrian]

NH went for bush, so it's firewall plus.

[Devout Centrist]

This poll makes perfect sense if you think the day Comey dropped his announcement, Trump had a +10 day like in the Marquette poll.

[Lyin' Steve]

OK guys, so here we have a poll showing Trump winning a firewall state, conducted by a pollster that is not trash and the poll doesn't have any indication that it's trash.  What's the excuse now?

If this poll accurately reflects the state of the race, and I'm unconvinced by the flood of "trash!  junk!  f*** you!" posts in this thread claiming that there's some mysterious reason to believe it doesn't, then Trump will win the 2016 presidential election and be placed in charge of the world's largest economy, most powerful military, the bedrock of the United Nations, the moral compass of much of the third world, the core of the world's anti-communist and anti-fascist alliance network, the world's fiat currency and gold stockpile, and a nuclear arsenal capable of destroying all life on the planet.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Please, add head-to-head numbers to the title, Trump +2

Trump 44%
Clinton 42%




JOHNSON / STEIN VOTER SHIFT
Johnson to Clinton 8%
Johnson to Trump 17%
Stein     to Clinton 5%
Stein     to Trump 3%

Shift  to Other / Don't know 67%

Total 102 voters