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Author Topic: NH-UMass Lowell: Hassan +1  (Read 552 times)
Castro
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« on: November 03, 2016, 09:18:20 pm »

Hassan - 47%
Ayotte - 46%

https://www.uml.edu/Research/public-opinion/polls/default.aspx
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 09:23:48 pm »

Hassan running ahead of Clinton?  Splendid!
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 09:30:38 pm »

I'd like to believe that Hassan will overperform Clinton, but that seems improbable. What is it with polls showing Trump doing better than congressional Republicans recently? Anyway, this race looks like it could go either way.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 09:39:33 pm »

I'd like to believe that Hassan will overperform Clinton, but that seems improbable. What is it with polls showing Trump doing better than congressional Republicans recently? Anyway, this race looks like it could go either way.

Maybe the Comey thing isn't having as big of an effect downballot?
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 09:40:46 pm »

Yep, this is the most pure Toss-Up in the country.
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 09:49:14 pm »

Yep, this is the most pure Toss-Up in the country.

The same way Shelby vs. Crumpton is a Tossup.
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 09:53:18 pm »

Yep, this is the most pure Toss-Up in the country.

The same way Shelby vs. Crumpton is a Tossup.

This is why your posts would be subject to moderator approval if I was Dave Leip. Any post having anything remotely to do with NH would never be approved.
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Figueira
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 09:56:47 pm »

If I time-travelled to the future and had to find out who controlled the Senate by asking about one Senate race, it would be this one.
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 09:57:45 pm »

Yep, this is the most pure Toss-Up in the country.

The same way Shelby vs. Crumpton is a Tossup.

This is why your posts would be subject to moderator approval if I was Dave Leip. Any post having anything remotely to do with NH would never be approved.

In five days, it will all be over. I'm calling it now: Ayotte, Guinta, Sununu and Trump will all lose NH, even though I admit Sununu has a 2% chance of winning while the others have zero chance of winning. Safe D x4.

Edit: Ayotte is losing the female vote by 20 points (!!) in this poll. She's not going win with those numbers, obviously.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2016, 10:05:43 pm by TN Volunteer »Logged

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DavidB.
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2016, 10:12:28 pm »

Ayotte has bombed. All polls show her approvals have tanked due to her bad campaign. She won't overperform Trump by enough to win anymore.

(Quote this six days from now in order to make me look stupid.)
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 10:14:03 pm »

Ayotte has bombed. All polls show her approvals have tanked due to her bad campaign. She won't overperform Trump by enough to win anymore.

She was never going to be reelected anyway.

Okay, that's enough from me in this thread.
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2016, 01:42:25 am »

Oh God, glad to see there's still one poll showing Hassan ahead. Still, the latest trend here isn't good. We've got to pray that it's just a temporary Dem enthusiasm slump caused by Comey that will soon reverse itself (or has already started reversing itself). Still, not enough to feel good here.
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Figueira
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2016, 08:58:55 am »

Isn't this the pollster that got it exactly right in 2014?
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DavidB.
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2016, 09:54:23 am »

Oh God, glad to see there's still one poll showing Hassan ahead. Still, the latest trend here isn't good. We've got to pray that it's just a temporary Dem enthusiasm slump caused by Comey that will soon reverse itself (or has already started reversing itself). Still, not enough to feel good here.
The presidential polls have changed notably, but there doesn't seem to be a GOP trend for the senatorial race.
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2016, 10:00:46 am »

Oh God, glad to see there's still one poll showing Hassan ahead. Still, the latest trend here isn't good. We've got to pray that it's just a temporary Dem enthusiasm slump caused by Comey that will soon reverse itself (or has already started reversing itself). Still, not enough to feel good here.
The presidential polls have changed notably, but there doesn't seem to be a GOP trend for the senatorial race.

Right. This race continues to be a tossup with a very slight tilt towards Hassan.
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