Magellan Strategies - CO: Clinton+6 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 02:37:59 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Magellan Strategies - CO: Clinton+6 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Magellan Strategies - CO: Clinton+6  (Read 3020 times)
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,711
United States


« on: November 03, 2016, 03:52:44 PM »

Looks right. Clinton isn't losing Colorado.

Her ceiling seems to be around 45%. We don't know how undecideds will break, or if Johnson voters switch to Trump on election day.

If you don't know how undecideds will break, then you don't know that her ceiling is around 45%.

Why would someone willing to vote against Trump not have decided against him by now? What the hell could they possibly be waiting for?

So you're saying you do know how undecideds will break, and they'll all break for Trump. That's ridiculous.
To turn your question around, why would someone willing to vote against Clinton not have decided against her by now? Who knows, but as long as there are undecideds, some will end up voting for Clinton, some for Trump, some for third parties.

It's entirely likely many of those undecideds don't vote at all as well, so you can't just automatically assume they're all Trump just because your pessimism is disrupting your ability to use logic.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,711
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 04:45:21 PM »

Is this a reputable pollster?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 13 queries.