Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 23, 2019, 09:52:47 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump +1 in GA, +5 in AZ, +9 in TX
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump +1 in GA, +5 in AZ, +9 in TX  (Read 2468 times)
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2016, 04:00:25 pm »

Link.

Arizona:

Trump 45%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

Georgia:

Trump 45%
Clinton 44%
Johnson 8%

Texas:

Trump 49%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 6%
Stein 2%

All were conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2016, 04:05:29 pm by heatcharger »Logged

Ozymandias
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 471


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 04:00:46 pm »

AZ
Trump 45
Clinton 40
Johnson 9
Stein 3

GA
Trump 45
Clinton 44
Johnson 8

TX
Trump 49
Clinton 40
Johnson 6
Stein 2

EDIT: Sorry I'm just too slow on the draw today...
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,381


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 04:01:06 pm »

These are... not bad for Clinton for those days.

Johnson too high, though.
Logged
Devout Centrist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,285
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 04:01:12 pm »

lol
Logged
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,899
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 04:01:16 pm »

GA!!!!!!!!!!!
Logged

What this election has revealed to me is that our American political factions hold no respect for one another, and that this disrespect has reached the personal level. If we make it through the next four years, I can only pray that our party does something to remedy this, because until we have removed all of our "deplorable" rhetoric from our systems, this nation is hopeless.
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,652
Austria


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 04:01:57 pm »

GA too good for C, AZ likely too bad.
Logged

Horus
Sheliak5
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,623


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 04:02:19 pm »

Flip AZ and GA and they look more plausible.. still, they're surprisingly not bad.
Logged

E -1.84
S -7.78
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,652
Austria


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 04:02:42 pm »

EV contradicts AZ and GA.

Logged

BoAtlantis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 791


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 04:02:45 pm »

Kinda conflicting.

She won't win any of them but I thought Hillary has a better shot in AZ than GA if anything.
Logged
Snek!
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,945
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2016, 04:02:57 pm »

This seems close to where I think things will end up. Georgia and Arizona being as tight as Ohio or Florida have been in recent years and Texas being like how Virginia or Colorado were before Democrats started campaigning there.
Logged

Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,455
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 04:02:57 pm »

Trump will win all three states.
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2016, 04:03:03 pm »

The undecideds will save GA for Trump. And Arizona just isn't happening this year.
Logged

LINCOLN - VOTE NO ON THE FLAWED PHILADELPHIA PLAN!!!!

#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

2019 GOV Ratings: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1bGAG7xF6fQTpNuyp5rJDDve4xGRuJM6WsXouSStfKNE
2020 House Rating - Toss-Up
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,775
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 04:03:20 pm »

Among Registered Voters, Trump +4 in Texas.
Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2016, 04:03:32 pm »

Trump will win all three states.
Logged

LINCOLN - VOTE NO ON THE FLAWED PHILADELPHIA PLAN!!!!

#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

2019 GOV Ratings: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1bGAG7xF6fQTpNuyp5rJDDve4xGRuJM6WsXouSStfKNE
2020 House Rating - Toss-Up
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2016, 04:03:36 pm »

Not so good for Trump, but Marist has D-house effect Undecided

Among Registered Voters, Trump +4 in Texas.

Wow, 5% points difference with LV?!
« Last Edit: November 03, 2016, 04:05:11 pm by Happy Sad Trumpista »Logged

“People have forgotten this truth," the fox said. "But you mustn’t forget it. You become responsible forever for what you’ve tamed. You’re responsible for your rose.”
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,732
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2016, 04:04:15 pm »

meh I was pretty close on Texas - the Georgia and Arizona numbers look flippity floppity.

Getting +9 in Texas still means Trump gets the worst Republican performance in Texas since I think 1996.
Logged
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,492


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2016, 04:04:55 pm »

Yeah, flip Arizona and Georgia and I'd say they all line up.
Logged
Big Daddy Gonna Take Care Of Us
ChairmanSanchez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,441
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04

P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2016, 04:05:57 pm »

While I never once predicted that Clinton would carry any of these states, I do find it a bit funny that even as the momentum grows and Trump positions himself to possibly win this election, Trump still can't carry Texas by more than ten.

I mean, he might be the first GOP Presidential nominee to win since '04 and yet might have the weakest number in the GOP's electoral breadbasket.
Logged

Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,732
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2016, 04:06:44 pm »

It's a pretty sure sign that, no matter what happens, he's losing the popular vote.
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,652
Austria


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2016, 04:07:05 pm »

While I never once predicted that Clinton would carry any of these states, I do find it a bit funny that even as the momentum grows and Trump positions himself to possibly win this election, Trump still can't carry Texas by more than ten


to be fair, texas is kind of a minority majority state and if all parts of the state would have high turnout, republicans wouldn't win with double digits anymore at all.
Logged

KingSweden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,327
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2016, 04:10:58 pm »

GA seems off but the rest seems reasonable with the current CW on Latino vote
Logged

For England, James?

No. For me.
Likely Voter
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,365


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2016, 04:13:00 pm »

The clinton campaign must be seeing different numbers with their internal polling. they are spending over 1 million in Arizona this week and Tim Kaine is in Phoenix today doing a rally in Spanish. This may be another example of of polls without spanish option underestimating Latino vote in states like AZ and NV. 
Logged
dspNY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,593
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2016, 04:13:26 pm »

Reverse GA and AZ and it looks right. AZ looks very competitive if Clinton is still going there a week before the election and Kaine is there today
Logged
Neoliberals Are Pro-Choice Republicans
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,186
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2016, 04:14:32 pm »

The clinton campaign must be seeing different numbers with their internal polling. they are spending over 1 million in Arizona this week and Tim Kaine is in Phoenix today doing a rally in Spanish. This may be another example of of polls without spanish option underestimating Latino vote in states like AZ and NV. 

They scheduled those before the Clinton implosion. I'm sure they know AZ is out of reach at this point.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,198
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2016, 04:15:53 pm »

The clinton campaign must be seeing different numbers with their internal polling. they are spending over 1 million in Arizona this week and Tim Kaine is in Phoenix today doing a rally in Spanish. This may be another example of of polls without spanish option underestimating Latino vote in states like AZ and NV. 

They scheduled those before the Clinton implosion. I'm sure they know AZ is out of reach at this point.

You think that if they "knew" that that Kaine would still be in Phoenix today? You're crazy.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines