NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump +1 in GA, +5 in AZ, +9 in TX

[heatcharger]

Link.

Arizona:

Trump 45%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

Georgia:

Trump 45%
Clinton 44%
Johnson 8%

Texas:

Trump 49%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 6%
Stein 2%

All were conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1.

[Ozymandias]

AZ
Trump 45
Clinton 40
Johnson 9
Stein 3

GA
Trump 45
Clinton 44
Johnson 8

TX
Trump 49
Clinton 40
Johnson 6
Stein 2

EDIT: Sorry I'm just too slow on the draw today...

[Brittain33]

These are... not bad for Clinton for those days.

Johnson too high, though.

[Devout Centrist]

lol

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

GA!!!!!!!!!!!

[ApatheticAustrian]

GA too good for C, AZ likely too bad.

[Horus]

Flip AZ and GA and they look more plausible.. still, they're surprisingly not bad.

[ApatheticAustrian]

EV contradicts AZ and GA.

[BoAtlantis]

Kinda conflicting.

She won't win any of them but I thought Hillary has a better shot in AZ than GA if anything.

[Person Man]

This seems close to where I think things will end up. Georgia and Arizona being as tight as Ohio or Florida have been in recent years and Texas being like how Virginia or Colorado were before Democrats started campaigning there.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The undecideds will save GA for Trump. And Arizona just isn't happening this year.

[The Other Castro]

Among Registered Voters, Trump +4 in Texas.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Trump will win all three states.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Not so good for Trump, but Marist has D-house effect

Among Registered Voters, Trump +4 in Texas.

Wow, 5% points difference with LV?!

[Maxwell]

meh I was pretty close on Texas - the Georgia and Arizona numbers look flippity floppity.

Getting +9 in Texas still means Trump gets the worst Republican performance in Texas since I think 1996.

[Fusionmunster]

Yeah, flip Arizona and Georgia and I'd say they all line up.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

While I never once predicted that Clinton would carry any of these states, I do find it a bit funny that even as the momentum grows and Trump positions himself to possibly win this election, Trump still can't carry Texas by more than ten.

I mean, he might be the first GOP Presidential nominee to win since '04 and yet might have the weakest number in the GOP's electoral breadbasket.

[Maxwell]

It's a pretty sure sign that, no matter what happens, he's losing the popular vote.

[ApatheticAustrian]

While I never once predicted that Clinton would carry any of these states, I do find it a bit funny that even as the momentum grows and Trump positions himself to possibly win this election, Trump still can't carry Texas by more than ten

to be fair, texas is kind of a minority majority state and if all parts of the state would have high turnout, republicans wouldn't win with double digits anymore at all.

[KingSweden]

GA seems off but the rest seems reasonable with the current CW on Latino vote

[Likely Voter]

The clinton campaign must be seeing different numbers with their internal polling. they are spending over 1 million in Arizona this week and Tim Kaine is in Phoenix today doing a rally in Spanish. This may be another example of of polls without spanish option underestimating Latino vote in states like AZ and NV. 

[dspNY]

Reverse GA and AZ and it looks right. AZ looks very competitive if Clinton is still going there a week before the election and Kaine is there today

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

The clinton campaign must be seeing different numbers with their internal polling. they are spending over 1 million in Arizona this week and Tim Kaine is in Phoenix today doing a rally in Spanish. This may be another example of of polls without spanish option underestimating Latino vote in states like AZ and NV. 

They scheduled those before the Clinton implosion. I'm sure they know AZ is out of reach at this point.

[Speed of Sound]

The clinton campaign must be seeing different numbers with their internal polling. they are spending over 1 million in Arizona this week and Tim Kaine is in Phoenix today doing a rally in Spanish. This may be another example of of polls without spanish option underestimating Latino vote in states like AZ and NV. 

They scheduled those before the Clinton implosion. I'm sure they know AZ is out of reach at this point.

You think that if they "knew" that that Kaine would still be in Phoenix today? You're crazy.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

The clinton campaign must be seeing different numbers with their internal polling. they are spending over 1 million in Arizona this week and Tim Kaine is in Phoenix today doing a rally in Spanish. This may be another example of of polls without spanish option underestimating Latino vote in states like AZ and NV. 

They scheduled those before the Clinton implosion. I'm sure they know AZ is out of reach at this point.

You think that if they "knew" that that Kaine would still be in Phoenix today? You're crazy.

As someone in another thread said, they can't very well cancel AZ appearances that were scheduled before the implosion.