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Author Topic: FL - Gravis: Clinton +3 / +2 (h2h)  (Read 1571 times)
Ozymandias
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« on: November 03, 2016, 07:03:06 pm »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Gravis_FL_November_3rd_2016.pdf

Clinton - 49
Trump - 46
Johnson - 2
Stein - 1

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Clinton - 51
Trump - 49

10/31, 1995 RV, 2.2% MOE
« Last Edit: November 03, 2016, 07:04:42 pm by Ozymandias »Logged
adrac
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 07:03:26 pm »

Stellar for Gravis.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 07:04:03 pm »

FL is rapidly moving from Lean D to Likely D.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 07:04:44 pm »

Even Gravis....
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Never Beto
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 07:05:24 pm »

FL is rapidly moving from Lean D to Likely D.

And the Siena poll?
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 07:06:11 pm »

Gravis is obviously... well, Gravis, but since Clinton has led in most other polls in FL over the past two days, I think people who said that FL had trended Trump and that Clinton's lead is gone in FL jumped the fun a bit.
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matthew27
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 07:06:22 pm »

I'll be shocked if Florida isn't won by Clinton by at least 1 point on election night or more.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 07:06:30 pm »

Gravis is trash.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 07:07:30 pm »

The only polls of Florida that Clinton has not been ahead in this week were from Republican internal trash firms (Remington and Trafalgar). BEAUTIFUL!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2016, 07:07:45 pm »

Watch 538 adjust this towards Trump
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 07:10:31 pm »

Gravis is obviously... well, Gravis, but since Clinton has led in most other polls in FL over the past two days, I think people who said that FL had trended Trump and that Clinton's lead is gone in FL jumped the fun a bit.
But they also show C+1 in PA Smiley
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Snek!
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2016, 07:11:38 pm »

Watch 538 adjust this towards Trump
Nope. Hillary held the bleed to below 1% today. Looks like she has stabilized.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 07:16:02 pm »

Watch 538 adjust this towards Trump
Nope. Hillary held the bleed to below 1% today. Looks like she has stabilized.

This.  It looks like the trend toward Trump has stopped.
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Snek!
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2016, 07:17:07 pm »

Watch 538 adjust this towards Trump
Nope. Hillary held the bleed to below 1% today. Looks like she has stabilized.

This.  It looks like the trend toward Trump has stopped.
Like I said, if she can make it another 96 hours without a major gaffe or oppo hit by the media, she has it!
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dspNY
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2016, 07:17:34 pm »

Hillary checkmates Trump with a Florida win
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Crumpets
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2016, 07:18:51 pm »

FL is rapidly moving from Lean D to Likely D.

And the Siena poll?

That poll is a week old, and the polls since then have shown:

Target Smart - Clinton +8
Opinion Savvy - Clinton +4
CNN - Clinton +3
SUSA - Clinton +3
SurveyMonkey - Clinton +3
Gravis - Clinton +3
Emerson - Clinton +1
Quinnipiac - Clinton +1
Pulse - Tie
Ipsos - Tie
Trafalgar Group - Trump +4
Remington - Trump +4
Average Clinton +1.5

Meanwhile, the Democrats have had strong EV numbers that indicate a close race even through the worst of the Comey nonsense. If there's any momentum, it's Clinton's, and if anybody needs to have momentum to win Florida at this point, it's Trump.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2016, 07:24:14 pm by Crumpets »Logged
Hammy
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2016, 07:22:52 pm »

This is what, the third or fourth poll now in the last few days showing Clinton at 49% with third parties included?
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2016, 07:24:38 pm »

Hmmm, pretty surprising how positive the outlook is in Florida considering the general atmosphere. Bizarre if it's the nail in the coffin rather than anything else.
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nirvanayoda
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2016, 07:28:50 pm »

RV, so of limited value.
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Shadows
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2016, 08:23:50 pm »

So this is a good poll but Gravis is junk in the other thread as PA is close - What a bunch of paid superpac hacks!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2016, 09:04:24 pm »

Watch 538 adjust this towards Trump

538 actually adjusted this up, from a Clinton +3 to a Clinton +4 !
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2016, 12:35:33 am »

Oh wow. If even Gravis can't show Hillary down, FL actually might vote to the left of the nation this cycle.
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