GA-Landmark: Trump +2 (user search)
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  GA-Landmark: Trump +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-Landmark: Trump +2  (Read 1612 times)
HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« on: November 04, 2016, 08:33:12 AM »
« edited: November 04, 2016, 05:52:19 PM by HillOfANight »

https://twitter.com/LoriGearyWSB/status/794532025038499840
http://media.beta.wsbtv.com/document_dev/2016/11/04/Statewide%20Poll%20Nov%203rd%20.xls_6522500_ver1.0.pdf

Trump 48 (47)
Clinton 46 (43)
Johnson 4 (4)
Undecided 2 (5)
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 08:39:16 AM »

The polls show the white vote is definitely fracturing to Johnson. The big question is whether the electorate will be diverse enough, and early voting doesn't look encouraging.

It looks like Clinton gained most of the undecideds from the last poll btw.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 05:55:08 PM »

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Still a chance, though unlikely, depends on how much she wins by in the end.

I would be shocked if GA went to Clinton at this point.

I don't think she wins but there still is a chance.

I've thought all along and still think that GA will be close (margin less than 3 points), but I don't think it's ever been better (for Clinton) than a coin flip, and that was at the low point of Trump's campaign.

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/politics/poll-trump-barely-ahead-of-clinton-in-georgia/464103996
Crosstabs are up and they look pretty good for Clinton. Hillary getting relatively strong white support.

White (63.7%)
Trump 66
Clinton 27
Johnson 5
Undecided 2

Black (29.9%)
Trump 12
Clinton 85
Johnson 2
Undecided 2

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HillOfANight
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2016, 09:06:31 PM »

Damn.  If not for the Comey thing she might have won here.

Doubtful--she's probably just regaining the people that wavered in the polls following last Friday's announcement.

This is the highest white % she has ever had with Landmark.
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