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  MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO
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Author Topic: MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO  (Read 1758 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: November 04, 2016, 10:26:41 am »
« edited: November 04, 2016, 10:34:46 am by Castro »

Missouri: Trump +11
Trump - 52%
Clinton - 41%

Nevada: Clinton +3
Clinton - 48%
Trump - 45%

New Hampshire: Clinton +5
Clinton - 48%
Trump - 43%

North Carolina: Clinton +2
Clinton - 49%
Trump - 47%

Pennsylvania Clinton +4
Clinton - 48%
Trump - 44%

Wisconsin: Clinton +7
Clinton - 48%
Trump - 41%

Polls conducted for Center for American Progress, a progressive public policy research and advocacy organization.

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143903/NationalMemo112-Final.pdf

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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 10:28:12 am »

For a Dem group, but solid results for Clinton outside PA/MO.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 10:28:35 am »

What did I tell you guys?

I know I went full fatalist last Friday. I apologize for that. But now isn't the time to despair. Dear Donny is getting the belt big league next Tuesday.


Clinton by 7-11 in the popular vote.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2016, 10:28:53 am »

What a shock drop by PPP! Really didn't expect anything more out of them this cycle. Considering the dates for these polls, encouraging numbers everywhere.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2016, 10:29:05 am »


WRONG!
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2016, 10:29:58 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2016, 10:30:34 am »

That looks about right and confirms, what Iíve been saying for a while: There is no realistic path for the Trumpster to the magic 270. Heís just not going to win. His ceiling his 220 EVs; maybe he even falls below Romney (2012-NC).
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2016, 10:30:53 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions

How many times do we have to go over the situation regarding PPP's private polling...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2016, 10:31:05 am »

These are good enough for Hillary.

Wisconsin appears to be safe for sure.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2016, 10:31:11 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions
PPP don't lie
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2016, 10:32:35 am »

Makes me relieved
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2016, 10:33:03 am »

What did I tell you guys?

I know I went full fatalist last Friday. I apologize for that. But now isn't the time to despair. Dear Donny is getting the belt big league next Tuesday.


Clinton by 7-11 in the popular vote.

7-11? lol, not sure how you're seeing that from these.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2016, 10:33:17 am »

Missouri aligning with consensus makes me think the rest of these are legit
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Ye Olde Europe
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2016, 10:33:26 am »

Muhahahaha, goodbye Trump.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2016, 10:33:31 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions
PPP don't lie
Mm actually you ought to know that their public polls and their "gun advocacy group" polls are much different.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2016, 10:34:01 am »

Missouri aligning with consensus makes me think the rest of these are legit

Indeed.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2016, 10:34:24 am »

But I'm glad the dems have something to cling their hopes to, this makes me feel very good about our Senate majority if they can only find the dems up by 2-3 in NV, NH, and PA and find the GOP up in MO and NC Cheesy
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2016, 10:34:30 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions
PPP don't lie
Mm actually you ought to know that their public polls and their "gun advocacy group" polls are much different.
It's a poll where they ask the horse race questions, then the others.  Nothing is changed.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2016, 10:34:37 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions
PPP don't lie
Mm actually you ought to know that their public polls and their "gun advocacy group" polls are much different.
Ok, what do they do to change the methodology? Add 5000 dead liberals?
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ReapSow
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« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2016, 10:36:49 am »

Great numbers. Pussygroper P. Putin's Puppet is going to be sobbing in Ivanka's bosom Tuesday night.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2016, 10:38:42 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions
PPP don't lie
Mm actually you ought to know that their public polls and their "gun advocacy group" polls are much different.
Ok, what do they do to change the methodology? Add 5000 dead liberals?
Hmm, you don't think asking a bunch of gun control questions and then the horse race questions impacts at all?
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Absolution9
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« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2016, 10:40:07 am »

Any Dems concerned about the Philly transit strike shaving some votes off the margin there?
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nirvanayoda
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« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2016, 10:42:00 am »

You know you're desperate when you use a progressive advocate group poll to boast about your so called NH predictions
PPP don't lie
Mm actually you ought to know that their public polls and their "gun advocacy group" polls are much different.
Ok, what do they do to change the methodology? Add 5000 dead liberals?

The problem is not that they do anything different, it's that it's a private poll and an advocacy group is going to release only favorable polls.  For example, this could be the second or third iteration of those polls and these are the most favorable to Hillary.  Also, for example, they may have also polled Michigan and not released it because it was unfavorable to Hillary.  You get the idea.  With that said, these are probably correct except for NC.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2016, 10:42:29 am »

Any Dems concerned about the Philly transit strike shaving some votes off the margin there?

No. We've been over this.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2016, 10:44:28 am »

Trump is doing much better in Pennsylvania than I had ever imagined. He should spend every waking moment in PA, FL, and NC this week with and blast a bit in Ohio too. That's the only path. NV is not happening so it makes NH not worth it.
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