PA: Harper - TIE (user search)
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  PA: Harper - TIE (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA: Harper - TIE  (Read 10335 times)
Hammy
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Posts: 11,708
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« on: November 04, 2016, 01:41:48 PM »

From wikipedia IIRC:
Harper Polling correctly polled the 2013 Senate special election in Massachusetts. Harper predicted the outcome of the New Jersey Senate special election to the exact margin of 11%. [7]

Harper has also polled the 2014 Pennsylvania Lieutenant Governor race and the 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.[8][9] Harper was the only Pennsylvania pollster to predict the size of Tom Wolf's landslide Democratic primary victory for Governor. [10]

So essentially what you're saying is they'd be right if this wasn't a presidential year.
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Hammy
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Posts: 11,708
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 08:34:56 PM »

It is closer, but Hillary has the Phila suburbs.  She takes it, though we might not know until late. 

But she doesn't have Pittsburgh.
That city used to be a Dem stronghold. It's Trump country now.


Trump isn't winning Pittsburgh. I have family there, and according to them almost nobody there likes him.
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Hammy
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Posts: 11,708
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 08:44:00 PM »

Pennsylvania has no early voting, so this may be significant.

While this likely won't have any bearing on the end result, it explains why they always have such a problem with excessive wait times.
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